Stock Analysis

Here's Why IPC (SGX:AZA) Can Afford Some Debt

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, IPC Corporation Ltd (SGX:AZA) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for IPC

How Much Debt Does IPC Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that IPC had debt of S$8.23m at the end of June 2020, a reduction from S$11.0m over a year. On the flip side, it has S$5.69m in cash leading to net debt of about S$2.55m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:AZA Debt to Equity History November 23rd 2020

How Healthy Is IPC's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that IPC had liabilities of S$3.34m falling due within a year, and liabilities of S$7.59m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$5.69m as well as receivables valued at S$614.0k due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$4.63m.

This deficit isn't so bad because IPC is worth S$10.6m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is IPC's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, IPC made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to S$2.5m, which is a fall of 70%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did IPC's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping S$5.3m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through S$2.0m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Take risks, for example - IPC has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

About SGX:AZA

IPC

An investment holding company, engages in property development and investment activities in Singapore, Japan, and China.

Slight risk with mediocre balance sheet.

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