Stock Analysis

Does Ying Li International Real Estate (SGX:5DM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SGX:5DM
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Ying Li International Real Estate Limited (SGX:5DM) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Ying Li International Real Estate

What Is Ying Li International Real Estate's Debt?

As you can see below, Ying Li International Real Estate had CN¥2.51b of debt, at June 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had CN¥487.2m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥2.02b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:5DM Debt to Equity History September 1st 2022

A Look At Ying Li International Real Estate's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ying Li International Real Estate had liabilities of CN¥2.42b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.48b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥487.2m in cash and CN¥331.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥4.08b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥594.5m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Ying Li International Real Estate would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 0.29 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 49.5 hit our confidence in Ying Li International Real Estate like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. On the other hand, Ying Li International Real Estate grew its EBIT by 22% in the last year. If sustained, this growth should make that debt evaporate like a scarce drinking water during an unnaturally hot summer. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Ying Li International Real Estate will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last two years, Ying Li International Real Estate burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Ying Li International Real Estate's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Ying Li International Real Estate has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Ying Li International Real Estate is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those don't sit too well with us...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.