Stock Analysis

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With China Sunsine Chemical Holdings' (SGX:QES) Robust Earnings

SGX:QES
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China Sunsine Chemical Holdings Ltd.'s (SGX:QES) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

See our latest analysis for China Sunsine Chemical Holdings

earnings-and-revenue-history
SGX:QES Earnings and Revenue History August 23rd 2021

Examining Cashflow Against China Sunsine Chemical Holdings' Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

China Sunsine Chemical Holdings has an accrual ratio of 0.22 for the year to June 2021. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥87m during the period, falling well short of its reported profit of CN¥401.6m. China Sunsine Chemical Holdings shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On China Sunsine Chemical Holdings' Profit Performance

China Sunsine Chemical Holdings didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that China Sunsine Chemical Holdings' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. The silver lining is that its EPS growth over the last year has been really wonderful, even if it's not a perfect measure. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into China Sunsine Chemical Holdings, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, China Sunsine Chemical Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of China Sunsine Chemical Holdings' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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