Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that AEI Corporation Ltd. (SGX:AWG) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for AEI
What Is AEI's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that AEI had S$2.25m of debt in December 2020, down from S$2.37m, one year before. But it also has S$29.7m in cash to offset that, meaning it has S$27.4m net cash.
A Look At AEI's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that AEI had liabilities of S$13.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of S$2.23m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$29.7m as well as receivables valued at S$4.80m due within 12 months. So it actually has S$18.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This luscious liquidity implies that AEI's balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Succinctly put, AEI boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is AEI's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, AEI reported revenue of S$9.9m, which is a gain of 8.7%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
So How Risky Is AEI?
We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And the fact is that over the last twelve months AEI lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. Indeed, in that time it burnt through S$4.3m of cash and made a loss of S$5.6m. But the saving grace is the S$27.4m on the balance sheet. That means it could keep spending at its current rate for more than two years. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with AEI (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About SGX:AWG
Ascent Bridge
An investment holding company, produces and distributes liquor and beverages in Singapore, the United States, Hong Kong, and internationally.
Moderate with adequate balance sheet.