Stock Analysis

Fraser and Neave (SGX:F99) Will Pay A Dividend Of SGD0.035

SGX:F99
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The board of Fraser and Neave, Limited (SGX:F99) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 10th of February, with investors receiving SGD0.035 per share. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 3.9%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

View our latest analysis for Fraser and Neave

Fraser and Neave Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. Before making this announcement, Fraser and Neave was earning enough to cover the dividend, but it wasn't generating any free cash flows. Since a dividend means the company is paying out cash to investors, this could prove to be a problem in the future.

If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 37.3% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 96%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.

historic-dividend
SGX:F99 Historic Dividend January 23rd 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from SGD0.18 total annually to SGD0.05. Dividend payments have fallen sharply, down 72% over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS is growing. Fraser and Neave's earnings per share has shrunk at 37% a year over the past five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in.

Fraser and Neave's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Fraser and Neave (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.