Stock Analysis

Oversea-Chinese Banking (SGX:O39) Is Increasing Its Dividend To SGD0.40

SGX:O39
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The board of Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited (SGX:O39) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of SGD0.40 on the 19th of May, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This makes the dividend yield 6.3%, which is above the industry average.

Check out our latest analysis for Oversea-Chinese Banking

Oversea-Chinese Banking's Earnings Will Easily Cover The Distributions

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable.

Oversea-Chinese Banking has a long history of paying out dividends, with its current track record at a minimum of 10 years. Past distributions do not necessarily guarantee future ones, but Oversea-Chinese Banking's payout ratio of 54% is a good sign as this means that earnings decently cover dividends.

Over the next 3 years, EPS is forecast to expand by 28.0%. Analysts forecast the future payout ratio could be 51% over the same time horizon, which is a number we think the company can maintain.

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SGX:O39 Historic Dividend February 27th 2023

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of SGD0.30 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of SGD0.80. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10% a year over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.

The Dividend Has Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Oversea-Chinese Banking has impressed us by growing EPS at 6.1% per year over the past five years. Earnings are on the uptrend, and it is only paying a small portion of those earnings to shareholders.

In Summary

Overall, this is a reasonable dividend, and it being raised is an added bonus. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. The dividend looks okay, but there have been some issues in the past, so we would be a little bit cautious.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Oversea-Chinese Banking (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Oversea-Chinese Banking is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.