David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, 4C Group AB (publ) (STO:4C) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for 4C Group
What Is 4C Group's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that 4C Group had debt of kr24.0m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from kr25.9m over a year. On the flip side, it has kr5.63m in cash leading to net debt of about kr18.4m.
A Look At 4C Group's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that 4C Group had liabilities of kr112.4m due within a year, and liabilities of kr40.5m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had kr5.63m in cash and kr139.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr8.14m.
Having regard to 4C Group's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the kr579.7m company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine 4C Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Over 12 months, 4C Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to kr293m, which is a fall of 16%. We would much prefer see growth.
Caveat Emptor
While 4C Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable kr65m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled kr99m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that 4C Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:4C
4C Group
Provides software solutions and expert services for organizational readiness, training, and crisis management worldwide.
Undervalued with high growth potential.