Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Solidx AB (publ)'s (NGM:SOLIDX) Revenues Despite 54% Price Jump
Solidx AB (publ) (NGM:SOLIDX) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 54% gain in the last month alone. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 2.9% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Solidx's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Sweden's IT industry is similar at about 0.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for Solidx
How Has Solidx Performed Recently?
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Solidx as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Solidx will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Solidx's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 37% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 180% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to decline by 6.5% over the next year, which puts the company's recent medium-term positive growth rates in a good light for now.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Solidx's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Solidx's P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Solidx revealed its growing revenue over the medium-term hasn't helped elevate its P/S above that of the industry, which is surprising given the industry is set to shrink. When we see a history of positive growth in a struggling industry, but only an average P/S, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. One major risk is whether its revenue trajectory can keep outperforming under these tough industry conditions. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because this relative performance should normally provide a boost to the share price.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Solidx (2 are potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of Solidx's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NGM:SOLIDX
Low and slightly overvalued.
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