BHG Group Valuation

Is BHG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BHG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BHG (SEK14.62) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK16.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BHG is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BHG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BHG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA175.3x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BHG's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BHG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
BMAX Byggmax Group
0.3x6.4%kr2.0b
CLAS B Clas Ohlson
0.9x7.1%kr8.6b
HAYPP Haypp Group
0.9x15.8%kr2.7b
RUG RugVista Group
1.9x9.8%kr1.4b
BHG BHG Group
0.2x2.2%kr2.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BHG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BHG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the SE Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BHG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the Swedish Specialty Retail industry average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BHG's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BHG PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BHG is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BHG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentkr14.62
kr17.00
+16.3%
11.8%kr19.00kr15.00n/a2
Apr ’25kr18.50
kr18.00
-2.7%
5.6%kr19.00kr17.00n/a2
Feb ’25kr17.15
kr16.00
-6.7%
6.3%kr17.00kr15.00n/a2
Jan ’25kr14.06
kr12.50
-11.1%
12.0%kr14.00kr11.00n/a2
Dec ’24kr11.85
kr12.50
+5.5%
12.0%kr14.00kr11.00n/a2
Nov ’24kr9.64
kr15.50
+60.9%
29.0%kr20.00kr11.00n/a2
Oct ’24kr13.10
kr19.00
+45.0%
5.3%kr20.00kr18.00n/a2
Sep ’24kr15.22
kr19.00
+24.8%
5.3%kr20.00kr18.00n/a2
Aug ’24kr19.20
kr19.00
-1.0%
5.3%kr20.00kr18.00n/a2
Jun ’24kr12.79
kr8.75
-31.6%
14.3%kr10.00kr7.50n/a2
May ’24kr11.64
kr8.75
-24.8%
14.3%kr10.00kr7.50kr13.942
Apr ’24kr9.57
kr8.75
-8.5%
14.3%kr10.00kr7.50kr18.502
Mar ’24kr12.79
kr23.25
+81.8%
29.0%kr30.00kr16.50kr17.272
Feb ’24kr15.14
kr23.25
+53.6%
29.0%kr30.00kr16.50kr17.152
Jan ’24kr18.57
kr21.67
+16.7%
27.3%kr30.00kr17.00kr14.063
Dec ’23kr21.58
kr21.67
+0.4%
27.3%kr30.00kr17.00kr11.853
Nov ’23kr19.68
kr21.67
+10.1%
27.3%kr30.00kr17.00kr9.643
Oct ’23kr14.36
kr71.00
+394.4%
84.6%kr155.00kr18.00kr13.103
Sep ’23kr22.34
kr93.33
+317.8%
48.0%kr155.00kr50.00kr15.223
Aug ’23kr34.08
kr95.00
+178.8%
46.5%kr155.00kr50.00kr19.203
Jul ’23kr32.84
kr109.33
+232.9%
41.2%kr155.00kr48.00kr15.013
Jun ’23kr47.56
kr126.67
+166.3%
17.8%kr155.00kr100.00kr12.793
May ’23kr68.40
kr135.00
+97.4%
18.4%kr155.00kr100.00kr11.643

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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