Stock Analysis

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Calliditas Therapeutics AB (publ)'s (STO:CALTX) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 26%

OM:CALTX
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Calliditas Therapeutics AB (publ) (STO:CALTX) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. Longer-term, the stock has been solid despite a difficult 30 days, gaining 12% in the last year.

After such a large drop in price, given about half the companies in Sweden have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may consider Calliditas Therapeutics as a highly attractive investment with its -13x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Calliditas Therapeutics has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Calliditas Therapeutics

pe-multiple-vs-industry
OM:CALTX Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 26th 2023
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Calliditas Therapeutics will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For Calliditas Therapeutics?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Calliditas Therapeutics' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 34% last year. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Calliditas Therapeutics is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Calliditas Therapeutics' P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Calliditas Therapeutics maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Calliditas Therapeutics.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Calliditas Therapeutics is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About OM:CALTX

Calliditas Therapeutics

A commercial-stage bio-pharmaceutical company, focused on identifying, developing, and commercializing novel treatments in orphan indications with an initial focus on renal and hepatic diseases with significant unmet medical needs in the United States, Europe, and Asia.

Exceptional growth potential and good value.