David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Starbreeze AB (publ) (STO:STAR B) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Starbreeze
What Is Starbreeze's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 Starbreeze had debt of kr535.3m, up from kr377.1m in one year. However, it does have kr119.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about kr415.7m.
A Look At Starbreeze's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Starbreeze had liabilities of kr121.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr544.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr119.6m as well as receivables valued at kr56.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr490.3m.
This deficit isn't so bad because Starbreeze is worth kr1.09b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Weak interest cover of 1.1 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.9 hit our confidence in Starbreeze like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. One redeeming factor for Starbreeze is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of kr65m, over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Starbreeze's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, Starbreeze burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Starbreeze's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. Overall, it seems to us that Starbreeze's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. Given our hesitation about the stock, it would be good to know if Starbreeze insiders have sold any shares recently. You click here to find out if insiders have sold recently.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:STAR B
Starbreeze
Develops, creates, publishes, and distributes PC and console games in Europe and North America.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.