Starbreeze Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Starbreeze's revenue is forecast to decline at 4% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 89.5% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 90.8% per annum.
Key information
89.5%
Earnings growth rate
90.78%
EPS growth rate
| Entertainment earnings growth | 54.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | -4.0% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 13 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 04
STAR B: Media Tie Ups Will Likely Fail To Sustain Earnings Power
Narrative Update: Starbreeze Analyst Price Target Shift Analysts have revised their Starbreeze price target lower to reflect a reduced future P/E assumption of 35.7x from 50.6x. They cited more conservative expectations for the stock’s longer term valuation profile in SEK.Narrative Update • May 17
STAR B: Media Partnerships Will Likely Fail To Offset Weakening Earnings Power
Analysts have lowered their Starbreeze fair value estimate from SEK0.14 to SEK0.08. This reflects updated assumptions that now factor in a steeper revenue decline, a higher profit margin outlook, a reduced discount rate and a lower future P/E multiple.Analysis Article • May 15
Starbreeze AB (publ) (STO:STAR B) Consensus Forecasts Have Become A Little Darker Since Its Latest Report
It's shaping up to be a tough period for Starbreeze AB (publ) ( STO:STAR B ), which a week ago released some...
Narrative Update • Apr 28
STAR B: Weaker Outlook And Slim Margins Will Limit Franchise Expansion Potential
Analysts have trimmed their SEK fair value estimate for Starbreeze from SEK0.14 to SEK0.09, citing revised expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News Starbreeze enters a partnership with VICE Studios to develop film and television adaptations of the PAYDAY franchise, extending the brand into screen and other entertainment formats while retaining IP ownership of PAYDAY (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 13
STAR B: New Media Partnerships And Content Pipeline Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have kept their SEK price target for Starbreeze broadly unchanged, reflecting only a very small adjustment that relates to stable fair value assumptions, a slightly lower discount rate and a similar forward P/E outlook. What's in the News Starbreeze agreed a partnership with VICE Studios, known for Gangs of London, to develop film and television projects based on the PAYDAY franchise, with Starbreeze keeping ownership of the PAYDAY intellectual property (Client Announcement).
Narrative Update • Mar 30
STAR B: Content Partnerships And New DLC Pipeline Will Support Future Earnings
Analysts now see Starbreeze as fairly valued at SEK0.18 per share, with a slightly lower implied discount rate and P/E, marginally softer revenue growth assumptions, and a modestly higher profit margin outlook supporting a broadly unchanged price target profile. What's in the News Starbreeze has entered a partnership with VICE Studios, known for Gangs of London, to develop film and television adaptations of the PAYDAY franchise.Narrative Update • Mar 16
STAR B: New Content Launches And Partnerships Will Support Future Earnings Potential
Analysts have revised their Starbreeze fair value estimate from SEK0.28 to SEK0.18, citing updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and a much higher assumed future P/E multiple as key drivers of the new target. What's in the News MY.GAMES announced a Tacticool x PAYDAY Robbery Rush event that runs from March 4 to March 25.Narrative Update • Mar 02
STAR B: New Replayable Content And Systems Overhaul Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their Starbreeze fair value estimate from SEK0.21 to SEK0.14, citing lower revenue growth and profit margin assumptions. These changes also push the implied future P/E sharply higher.Narrative Update • Feb 16
STAR B: Expanded Heist Content And Skills Overhaul Will Support Future Earnings Potential
Analysts have adjusted their Starbreeze price target slightly, citing a small change in the discount rate, a modest shift in expected revenue contraction, and an improved profit margin outlook, along with a lower assumed future P/E multiple, which together keep their fair value estimate steady at SEK0.28. What's in the News Starbreeze announced Shopping Spree, a paid DLC heist for PAYDAY 3 set in the Nobleman Galleria mall, featuring randomized main objectives, dynamic favors and a multi store layout aimed at repeat play, with additional quality of life updates and bug fixes released as a free update for all PAYDAY 3 players (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 02
STAR B: Skills Overhaul And New Content Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Starbreeze from €0.22 to €0.14, citing more cautious assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins. These effects are partly offset by a slightly higher discount rate and a modestly higher assumed future P/E multiple.Analysis Article • Jan 20
Estimating The Fair Value Of Starbreeze AB (publ) (STO:STAR B)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Starbreeze is kr0.12 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Narrative Update • Jan 19
STAR B: New Content And Systems Overhaul Will Support Long-Term Upside
Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Starbreeze at €0.21 per share, making only small adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E inputs. These changes reflect updated views on risk and earnings quality rather than a revision of the headline target.Narrative Update • Jan 05
STAR B: Skills Overhaul Will Support Higher Future Earnings Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Starbreeze, citing sharply lower revenue growth assumptions at around 0% and a reduced profit margin outlook of about 12%. This, in turn, feeds into a higher future P/E expectation.Narrative Update • Dec 18
STAR B Will Benefit From Higher Margin Outlook Despite Market Concerns
Analysts have lowered their price target on Starbreeze from SEK 0.45 to SEK 0.28, citing higher required returns despite stronger expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, as well as a substantially lower assumed future P E multiple. What's in the News Launch of PAYDAY 3 Skills 2.0 update on PC and consoles, delivering a rebuilt, theme driven skill system with 51 spendable points and deeper build customization across roles and weapon types (Key Developments) Introduction of a web based Skills 2.0 Simulator, enabling players to pre plan, save, and share PAYDAY 3 builds while providing developers with data for balance tuning (Key Developments) Non cash impairment of approximately SEK 255 million in Q3 2025, tied to write downs of previously capitalized development costs to refocus investment on higher value projects (Key Developments) Launch of a PAYDAY 2 subscription on Steam, offering access to more than 65 DLCs for a recurring fee, with discounted multi month pricing and a deep discount on the base game for new players (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate has been reduced significantly from SEK 0.45 to SEK 0.28 per share, despite stronger operational assumptions.Narrative Update • Dec 04
STAR B: Portfolio Reallocation And New Subscription Model Will Drive Long-Term Upside
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on Starbreeze, citing a lower assumed future price-to-earnings multiple and a reduced discount rate that together temper upside expectations, despite unchanged fair value estimates around €0.21 per share. What's in the News Recorded a non cash impairment of approximately SEK 255 million in the third quarter of 2025, writing down previously capitalized development costs to refocus resources on higher potential projects (company disclosure) Announced a new PAYDAY 2 subscription service on Steam, offering access to more than 65 DLCs for a monthly or semiannual fee, with flexible cancellation (company announcement) Launched promotional pricing tied to the PAYDAY franchise anniversary, combining a 95% discount on the PAYDAY 2 base game with the new subscription to create a low cost entry point for new players (company announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value: Unchanged at approximately €0.21 per share, indicating stable long term intrinsic value estimates.Narrative Update • Nov 20
STAR B: Disciplined Portfolio Management Will Drive Future Long-Term Upside Potential
Analysts have lowered their price target for Starbreeze from SEK 0.225 to SEK 0.21. They cite more cautious estimates for revenue growth and profit margins as the reason for this adjustment.Analysis Article • Nov 14
Analysts Have Just Cut Their Starbreeze AB (publ) (STO:STAR B) Revenue Estimates By 13%
One thing we could say about the analysts on Starbreeze AB (publ) ( STO:STAR B ) - they aren't optimistic, having just...Narrative Update • Nov 05
STAR B: Focus On Long-Term Value Will Drive Next Phase Of Upside
Narrative Update on Starbreeze Price Target Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Starbreeze at €0.23. They noted only minor adjustments to underlying assumptions and signaled a steady outlook, despite recent refinements to the discount rate and market metrics.Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analysts Maintain Starbreeze Price Target as Subscription Launch Offsets Impairment News
Analysts have maintained their fair value price target for Starbreeze at €0.23, citing steady revenue growth and profit margin expectations. This comes despite a slight increase in the discount rate.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Self-publishing And Robust Pipelines Will Transform Digital Gaming
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Starbreeze downward from SEK 0.34 to SEK 0.23 per share, citing lower projected revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News Starbreeze launches a new subscription service for PAYDAY 2, granting players instant access to all available downloadable content (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Aug 21
Upcoming Releases And Partnerships Will Expand Market Reach
Despite a marked improvement in Starbreeze's net profit margin and a sharp decline in its future P/E ratio, the consensus analyst price target has been lowered from SEK0.355 to SEK0.335. What's in the News Roboquest, a critically acclaimed FPS Roguelite, is now available on PlayStation 5 and 4, featuring 4K resolution, 60 fps, adaptive triggers, and haptic feedback; limited physical copies remain.
New Narrative • Apr 15
Upcoming Releases And Partnerships Will Expand Market Reach
Strategic partnerships and diversification into new platforms are expected to drive player base growth and positively impact revenue and audience reach.Analysis Article • Feb 21
Starbreeze AB (publ) (STO:STAR B) Just Released Its Yearly Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think
It's been a good week for Starbreeze AB (publ) ( STO:STAR B ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...Analysis Article • Dec 08
Industry Analysts Just Made A Sizeable Upgrade To Their Starbreeze AB (publ) (STO:STAR B) Revenue Forecasts
Starbreeze AB (publ) ( STO:STAR B ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making...Analysis Article • Nov 24
Starbreeze AB (publ) (STO:STAR B) Stocks Pounded By 31% But Not Lagging Industry On Growth Or Pricing
The Starbreeze AB (publ) ( STO:STAR B ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial...Analysis Article • Oct 30
Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Starbreeze (STO:STAR B)
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. In a perfect world, we'd like to see...Analysis Article • Aug 30
Starbreeze AB (publ)'s (STO:STAR B) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 26%
Starbreeze AB (publ) ( STO:STAR B ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough...Analysis Article • Aug 23
Starbreeze AB (publ) (STO:STAR B) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A kr0.50 Price Target
Starbreeze AB (publ) ( STO:STAR B ) came out with its second-quarter results last week, and we wanted to see how the...Analysis Article • May 24
Shareholders In Starbreeze (STO:STAR B) Should Look Beyond Earnings For The Full Story
After announcing healthy earnings, Starbreeze AB (publ)'s ( STO:STAR B ) stock rose over the last week. However, we...Analysis Article • May 21
Starbreeze AB (publ)'s (STO:STAR B) 50% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Those holding Starbreeze AB (publ) ( STO:STAR B ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 50% in...Analysis Article • Mar 31
More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Starbreeze AB (publ)'s (STO:STAR B) Shares After Tumbling 26%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Starbreeze AB (publ) ( STO:STAR B ) share price has dived 26% in the last...Analysis Article • Feb 20
Time To Worry? Analysts Are Downgrading Their Starbreeze AB (publ) (STO:STAR B) Outlook
One thing we could say about the analysts on Starbreeze AB (publ) ( STO:STAR B ) - they aren't optimistic, having just...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 138 | 6 | -28 | 53 | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 140 | 6 | -36 | 57 | 1 |
| 12/31/2026 | 143 | -110 | -68 | 38 | 1 |
| 3/31/2026 | 180 | -429 | -81 | 60 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 221 | -399 | -119 | 46 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 226 | -505 | -156 | 49 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 211 | -279 | -222 | 11 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 197 | -323 | -275 | -25 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 186 | -318 | -183 | 65 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 209 | -242 | -108 | 128 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 660 | 116 | -70 | 155 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 663 | 212 | -32 | 172 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 634 | 208 | -88 | 115 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 598 | 283 | -131 | 62 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 142 | -25 | -98 | 74 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 131 | -61 | -90 | 70 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 128 | -60 | -88 | 58 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 125 | -58 | -70 | 60 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 121 | -58 | -62 | 60 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 121 | -123 | -61 | 54 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 126 | -103 | -37 | 74 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 127 | -106 | -50 | 56 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 125 | -106 | -105 | -1 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 124 | -38 | -100 | 0 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 118 | -130 | -120 | -25 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 137 | -212 | -122 | -23 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 126 | -274 | -96 | -3 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 254 | -330 | -22 | 81 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 280 | -401 | N/A | 50 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 311 | -1,592 | N/A | 30 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 324 | -1,607 | N/A | -13 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 288 | -1,500 | N/A | -6 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 350 | -1,337 | N/A | 50 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 371 | -111 | N/A | 28 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 415 | -57 | N/A | 145 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 646 | -110 | N/A | 11 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 361 | -155 | N/A | -21 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 410 | -62 | N/A | 39 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 473 | -10 | N/A | 17 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 487 | 21 | N/A | 6 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 500 | 57 | N/A | 15 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 422 | 42 | N/A | -4 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 355 | 28 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 312 | 17 | N/A | 56 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 297 | 39 | N/A | 39 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 270 | 38 | N/A | 62 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 225 | 34 | N/A | 37 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: STAR B is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2%).
Earnings vs Market: STAR B is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: STAR B is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: STAR B's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-4% per year).
High Growth Revenue: STAR B's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if STAR B's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/09 17:25 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/09 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Starbreeze AB (publ) is covered by 7 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Nils Sjogren | ABG Sundal Collier Sponsored |
| Oscar Erixon | Carnegie Investment Bank AB |
| Christoffer Jennel | Inderes Oy |