Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Adverty AB (publ) (NGM:ADVT) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Adverty
How Much Debt Does Adverty Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Adverty had kr20.3m of debt, an increase on kr8.58m, over one year. However, it does have kr6.85m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about kr13.4m.
A Look At Adverty's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Adverty had liabilities of kr30.7m due within a year, and liabilities of kr20.3m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had kr6.85m in cash and kr31.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr12.8m.
Since publicly traded Adverty shares are worth a total of kr107.2m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Adverty will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Adverty reported revenue of kr63m, which is a gain of 229%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That's virtually the hole-in-one of revenue growth!
Caveat Emptor
Despite the top line growth, Adverty still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost kr2.4m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled kr12m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Adverty (3 make us uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NGM:ADVT
Adverty
Develops and operates advertising solutions for mobile games in Sweden.
Slight with imperfect balance sheet.