Stock Analysis

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, BillerudKorsnäs (STO:BILL) Presents An Opportunity

OM:BILL
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The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can manage to find investors. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.

Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like BillerudKorsnäs (STO:BILL). Now this is not to say that the company presents the best investment opportunity around, but profitability is a key component to success in business.

Check out our latest analysis for BillerudKorsnäs

How Quickly Is BillerudKorsnäs Increasing Earnings Per Share?

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS) outcomes. That makes EPS growth an attractive quality for any company. Shareholders will be happy to know that BillerudKorsnäs' EPS has grown 19% each year, compound, over three years. If the company can sustain that sort of growth, we'd expect shareholders to come away satisfied.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. BillerudKorsnäs shareholders can take confidence from the fact that EBIT margins are up from 3.2% to 9.2%, and revenue is growing. That's great to see, on both counts.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
OM:BILL Earnings and Revenue History July 13th 2022

Of course the knack is to find stocks that have their best days in the future, not in the past. You could base your opinion on past performance, of course, but you may also want to check this interactive graph of professional analyst EPS forecasts for BillerudKorsnäs.

Are BillerudKorsnäs Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Investors are always searching for a vote of confidence in the companies they hold and insider buying is one of the key indicators for optimism on the market. Because often, the purchase of stock is a sign that the buyer views it as undervalued. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

Despite kr688k worth of sales, BillerudKorsnäs insiders have overwhelmingly been buying the stock, spending kr7.0m on purchases in the last twelve months. You could argue that level of buying implies genuine confidence in the business. We also note that it was the Independent Director, Jan Astrom, who made the biggest single acquisition, paying kr1.3m for shares at about kr134 each.

Does BillerudKorsnäs Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

You can't deny that BillerudKorsnäs has grown its earnings per share at a very impressive rate. That's attractive. Not only is that growth rate rather juicy, but the insider buying adds fuel to the fire. To put it succinctly; BillerudKorsnäs is a strong candidate for your watchlist. You still need to take note of risks, for example - BillerudKorsnäs has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

The good news is that BillerudKorsnäs is not the only growth stock with insider buying. Here's a list of them... with insider buying in the last three months!

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.