Stock Analysis

Does Sotkamo Silver (NGM:SOSI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NGM:SOSI
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Sotkamo Silver AB (NGM:SOSI) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Sotkamo Silver

What Is Sotkamo Silver's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Sotkamo Silver had kr246.6m of debt at September 2024, down from kr276.4m a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of kr76.4m, its net debt is less, at about kr170.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NGM:SOSI Debt to Equity History January 4th 2025

How Strong Is Sotkamo Silver's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Sotkamo Silver had liabilities of kr154.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr231.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had kr76.4m in cash and kr34.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr274.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of kr297.6m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Sotkamo Silver's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Sotkamo Silver has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.4 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 1.6 times the interest expense. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. It is well worth noting that Sotkamo Silver's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 34% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sotkamo Silver can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last two years, Sotkamo Silver generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 89% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Sotkamo Silver's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. But truth be told its interest cover had us nibbling our nails. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Sotkamo Silver is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Sotkamo Silver you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.