Stock Analysis

Lovisagruvan AB (publ)'s (NGM:LOVI) Dismal Stock Performance Reflects Weak Fundamentals

NGM:LOVI
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Lovisagruvan's (NGM:LOVI) recent performance, when its stock has declined 3.6% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually driven by a company’s fundamentals over the long term, which in this case look pretty weak, we decided to study the company's key financial indicators. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Lovisagruvan's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Lovisagruvan

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Lovisagruvan is:

6.2% = kr1.6m ÷ kr26m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each SEK1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made SEK0.06 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Lovisagruvan's Earnings Growth And 6.2% ROE

On the face of it, Lovisagruvan's ROE is not much to talk about. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 8.8% either. As a result, Lovisagruvan reported a very low income growth of 2.3% over the past five years.

As a next step, we compared Lovisagruvan's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 13% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
NGM:LOVI Past Earnings Growth December 28th 2020

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Lovisagruvan's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Lovisagruvan Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 73% (that is, the company retains only 27% of its income) over the past three years for Lovisagruvan suggests that the company's earnings growth was lower as a result of paying out a majority of its earnings.

In addition, Lovisagruvan has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

Conclusion

On the whole, Lovisagruvan's performance is quite a big let-down. Because the company is not reinvesting much into the business, and given the low ROE, it's not surprising to see the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. In brief, we think the company is risky and investors should think twice before making any final judgement on this company. You can see the 4 risks we have identified for Lovisagruvan by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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