While Ambea AB (publ) (STO:AMBEA) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the OM over the last few months. As a stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s take a look at Ambea’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
See our latest analysis for Ambea
What's The Opportunity In Ambea?
The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Ambea’s ratio of 13.03x is trading in-line with its industry peers’ ratio, which means if you buy Ambea today, you’d be paying a relatively sensible price for it. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Ambea’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
Can we expect growth from Ambea?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 76% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Ambea. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? AMBEA’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at AMBEA? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on AMBEA, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for AMBEA, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Ambea (1 is concerning!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:AMBEA
Ambea
Provides elderly care, disability care, and psychosocial support for the elderly and people with disabilities primarily in Sweden, Norway, and Denmark.
Very undervalued with solid track record.