Ambea Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Ambea is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13.1% and 4.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13.6% in 3 years.
Key information
13.1%
Earnings growth rate
14.15%
EPS growth rate
| Healthcare earnings growth | 17.6% |
| Revenue growth rate | 4.1% |
| Future return on equity | 13.55% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 14 Aug 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 25
AMBEA: Danish Care Home Expansion And Dividend Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their SEK 181.0 price target for Ambea broadly unchanged, reflecting only minor model adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What’s in the News for Ambea Ambea, through its Danish company Altiden, agreed to establish a new care home in Nivå, Fredensborg Municipality, Denmark, with 88 places and planned occupancy in 2028, in collaboration with Fredensborg Municipality, MT Højgaard Denmark and Northern Horizon.Analysis Article • Jun 18
Ambea (OM:AMBEA) Stock Could Be 26.5% Undervalued After New Denmark Care Home Deal
Ambea (OM:AMBEA) has drawn fresh attention after its Danish subsidiary Altiden agreed to build a new 88 place care home in Nivå, Denmark, to serve rising long term demand for elderly care. See our latest analysis for Ambea. Despite the new Danish care home agreement highlighting Ambea’s growth ambitions in elderly care, recent trading has been softer, with the share price at SEK133.0 and a 30 day share price return down 7.45%, set against a 1 year total shareholder return of 22.68% and a very...Narrative Update • Jun 04
AMBEA: Nordic Care Acquisitions And Dividend Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts now see Ambea’s fair value at SEK 181.0 per share, with a slightly higher discount rate and a lower future P/E assumption. Together these factors explain the unchanged price target despite refined model inputs.Narrative Update • May 12
AMBEA: Nordic Care M&A Expansion And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Ambea from SEK165 to SEK181, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. What's in the News Ambea is actively seeking acquisitions across its markets, with management highlighting a continued focus on bolt on deals that fit operationally and can be integrated into existing operations (company conference call).Analysis Article • May 11
Ambea AB (publ) (STO:AMBEA) Just Reported First-Quarter Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?
It's been a good week for Ambea AB (publ) ( STO:AMBEA ) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest...Narrative Update • Apr 27
AMBEA: Nordic Care Expansion And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on Ambea to SEK165 from SEK158.33, reflecting updated assumptions regarding fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News Ambea plans to expand its Nordic footprint through a new Altiden operated care home in Munkebo, Kerteminde Municipality, Denmark.Narrative Update • Apr 13
AMBEA: Danish Expansion And Higher Dividend Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have maintained their SEK158.33 price target for Ambea, making only minor adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, which supports a steady view on the shares. What's in the News Ambea is expanding in Denmark through Altiden, which has agreed to operate a new 96 resident care home in Munkebo, Kerteminde Municipality.Narrative Update • Mar 29
AMBEA: Higher Dividend And Focused Bolt On M&A Will Support Upside
Analysts keep their SEK 158.33 price target for Ambea unchanged, reflecting only minor model adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and assumed future P/E that do not materially alter their overall view of the shares. What's in the News The Board proposed a dividend of SEK 2.65 per share for 2025, compared with SEK 2.20 per share previously (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 13
AMBEA: Higher Dividend And Ongoing Acquisitions Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have kept their SEK158.33 price target for Ambea broadly unchanged, citing only marginal tweaks to assumptions such as the discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that do not materially alter their overall view of the company. What's in the News The Board has proposed a dividend of SEK 2.65 per share for 2025, compared with SEK 2.20 per share previously (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 27
AMBEA: Acquisition Pipeline And Higher Dividend Will Support Future Expansion
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Ambea to SEK158 from about SEK162, reflecting updated views on fair value, a slightly higher discount rate and more cautious assumptions around revenue growth and profit margins, while keeping a broadly similar future P/E outlook. What's in the News Ambea is actively looking for acquisitions across its markets, with management highlighting a focus on quality targets with solid operational performance and an active pipeline in all countries and business areas except Klara (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Feb 15
Ambea (STO:AMBEA) Is Increasing Its Dividend To SEK2.65
Ambea AB (publ) ( STO:AMBEA ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment...Narrative Update • Feb 11
AMBEA: Higher Earnings Multiple Will Support Future Expansion Across Core Nordic Segments
Analysts have lifted their price target on Ambea to SEK162 from about SEK154, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E levels. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Updated estimate increased from SEK154.33 to SEK161.67, a rise of about 4.7%.Narrative Update • Jan 27
AMBEA: Acquisition Pipeline Will Support Future Expansion Across Core Nordic Segments
Analysts now see Ambea’s fair value at SEK154.33 per share, up from SEK147.50. This reflects small adjustments to their discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margin outlook and future P/E expectations.Analysis Article • Jan 15
Is Ambea (STO:AMBEA) A Risky Investment?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Dec 15
Why Ambea AB (publ) (STO:AMBEA) Could Be Worth Watching
While Ambea AB (publ) ( STO:AMBEA ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a double-digit share price...Analysis Article • Sep 11
What Is Ambea AB (publ)'s (STO:AMBEA) Share Price Doing?
Ambea AB (publ) ( STO:AMBEA ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of 23...Analysis Article • Aug 27
Statutory Profit Doesn't Reflect How Good Ambea's (STO:AMBEA) Earnings Are
Ambea AB (publ) ( STO:AMBEA ) recently posted some strong earnings, and the market responded positively. We did some...Narrative Update • Aug 21
Employee Satisfaction Efforts Will Reduce Turnover Costs And Improve Brand Trust
The notable upward revision in Ambea's analyst price target reflects improved profitability, as evidenced by a higher net profit margin, despite a moderation in revenue growth forecasts, resulting in an increased fair value from SEK131.67 to SEK147.50. What's in the News Ambea is actively seeking bolt-on acquisitions across multiple business areas and all Nordic markets.Analysis Article • Jul 30
Is Ambea (STO:AMBEA) A Risky Investment?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • May 15
Ambea (STO:AMBEA) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At SEK2.20
Ambea AB (publ) ( STO:AMBEA ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 21st of May to...Analysis Article • May 09
Shareholders Would Not Be Objecting To Ambea AB (publ)'s (STO:AMBEA) CEO Compensation And Here's Why
Key Insights Ambea to hold its Annual General Meeting on 14th of May Total pay for CEO Mark Jensen includes kr6.62m...Analysis Article • Apr 10
Ambea's (STO:AMBEA) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's
The board of Ambea AB (publ) ( STO:AMBEA ) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of SEK2.20 on the 21st of...Analysis Article • Mar 27
Ambea (STO:AMBEA) Is Increasing Its Dividend To SEK2.20
Ambea AB (publ) ( STO:AMBEA ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment...
New Narrative • Mar 17
Employee Satisfaction Efforts Will Reduce Turnover Costs And Improve Brand Trust
Expansion of care services and strategic acquisitions drive revenue growth, enhance economies of scale, and positively impact net margins.Analysis Article • Mar 13
Ambea (STO:AMBEA) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To SEK2.00
Ambea AB (publ) ( STO:AMBEA ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment...Analysis Article • Mar 11
Here's Why Ambea (STO:AMBEA) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Feb 22
The Strong Earnings Posted By Ambea (STO:AMBEA) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The Business
Ambea AB (publ)'s ( STO:AMBEA ) strong earnings report was rewarded with a positive stock price move. We have done some...Analysis Article • Feb 07
Ambea (STO:AMBEA) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Analysis Article • Nov 08
Is Ambea AB (publ) (STO:AMBEA) Potentially Undervalued?
Ambea AB (publ) ( STO:AMBEA ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of 30% in the...Analysis Article • Aug 23
We Think Ambea's (STO:AMBEA) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve
Ambea AB (publ)'s ( STO:AMBEA ) strong earnings report was rewarded with a positive stock price move. We have done some...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 18,719 | 1,043 | 2,624 | 2,770 | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 17,990 | 960 | 2,541 | 2,686 | 2 |
| 12/31/2026 | 17,376 | 850 | 2,237 | 2,375 | 2 |
| 3/31/2026 | 16,683 | 714 | 1,961 | 2,097 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 16,114 | 665 | 2,030 | 2,169 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 15,585 | 684 | 1,858 | 2,001 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 15,030 | 628 | 1,774 | 1,907 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 14,469 | 625 | 1,807 | 1,943 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 14,275 | 620 | 1,949 | 2,066 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 14,345 | 604 | 1,837 | 1,919 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 14,110 | 544 | 1,875 | 1,969 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 13,818 | 496 | 1,785 | 1,877 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 13,569 | 455 | 1,624 | 1,714 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 13,126 | 344 | 1,435 | 1,545 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 12,958 | 330 | 1,264 | 1,368 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 12,790 | 370 | 1,385 | 1,486 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 12,635 | 366 | 1,335 | 1,440 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 12,398 | 308 | 1,342 | 1,442 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 12,123 | 306 | 1,279 | 1,380 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 11,831 | 257 | 1,137 | 1,246 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 11,478 | 237 | 1,108 | 1,208 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 11,254 | 366 | 1,167 | 1,271 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 11,074 | 328 | 1,253 | 1,359 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 10,999 | 343 | 1,284 | 1,399 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 11,083 | 359 | 1,268 | 1,392 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 11,122 | 302 | 1,270 | 1,391 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 11,234 | 307 | 1,185 | 1,308 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 11,335 | 268 | 985 | 1,103 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 11,040 | 215 | N/A | 982 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 9,787 | 211 | N/A | 653 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 8,484 | 182 | N/A | 492 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 7,125 | 244 | N/A | 521 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 6,076 | 295 | N/A | 538 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 5,990 | 317 | N/A | 532 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 5,937 | 307 | N/A | 543 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 5,860 | 253 | N/A | 382 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 5,816 | 226 | N/A | 342 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,763 | 178 | N/A | 291 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 5,651 | 148 | N/A | 281 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 5,561 | 139 | N/A | 265 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5,335 | 128 | N/A | 210 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 4,350 | 3 | N/A | 289 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AMBEA's forecast earnings growth (13.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.1%).
Earnings vs Market: AMBEA's earnings (13.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Swedish market (7.3% per year).
High Growth Earnings: AMBEA's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: AMBEA's revenue (4.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Swedish market (-1.3% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AMBEA's revenue (4.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: AMBEA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.6%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/18 19:58 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/18 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Ambea AB (publ) is covered by 6 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Erik Moberg | Berenberg |
| Kristofer Liljeberg-Svensson | Carnegie Investment Bank AB |
| null null | Danske Bank |