Stock Analysis

Cheffelo's (STO:CHEF) Strong Earnings Are Of Good Quality

OM:CHEF
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Cheffelo AB (publ)'s (STO:CHEF) strong earnings report was rewarded with a positive stock price move. We did some digging and found some further encouraging factors that investors will like.

View our latest analysis for Cheffelo

earnings-and-revenue-history
OM:CHEF Earnings and Revenue History August 30th 2024

Zooming In On Cheffelo's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to June 2024, Cheffelo had an accrual ratio of -0.16. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of kr79m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of kr23.9m. Notably, Cheffelo had negative free cash flow last year, so the kr79m it produced this year was a welcome improvement.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Cheffelo's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Cheffelo has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Cheffelo's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And one can definitely find a positive in the fact that it made a profit this year, despite losing money last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Cheffelo as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Cheffelo you should be aware of.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Cheffelo's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.