Bravida Holding AB (publ) (STO:BRAV) Just Reported Annual Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

Investors in Bravida Holding AB (publ) (STO:BRAV) had a good week, as its shares rose 8.0% to close at kr96.70 following the release of its full-year results. Bravida Holding reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of kr30b and statutory earnings per share of kr5.16, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

See our latest analysis for Bravida Holding

Taking into account the latest results, Bravida Holding's four analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be kr29.9b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to leap 31% to kr6.76. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of kr30.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr6.68 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at kr97.33. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Bravida Holding analyst has a price target of kr112 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at kr85.00. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Bravida Holding is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that Bravida Holding's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 0.9% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 9.4% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 4.5% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Bravida Holding.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Bravida Holding's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Bravida Holding analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

It might also be worth considering whether Bravida Holding's debt load is appropriate, using our debt analysis tools on the Simply Wall St platform, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.