Stock Analysis

Investor Optimism Abounds Volati AB (publ) (STO:VOLO) But Growth Is Lacking

OM:VOLO
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Volati AB (publ)'s (STO:VOLO) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.9x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Sweden, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 21x and even P/E's below 12x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

With earnings growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Volati has been relatively sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will improve markedly. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Volati

pe-multiple-vs-industry
OM:VOLO Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Volati.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Volati's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with earnings down 34% overall from three years ago. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 9.3% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 20% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Volati is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Volati's P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Volati's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Volati, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Volati's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Volati is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.