Stock Analysis

Skanska (STO:SKA B) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

OM:SKA B
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Skanska AB (publ) (STO:SKA B) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Skanska

How Much Debt Does Skanska Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Skanska had kr11.8b of debt, an increase on kr7.54b, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds kr12.1b in cash, so it actually has kr251.0m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:SKA B Debt to Equity History June 18th 2024

How Healthy Is Skanska's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Skanska had liabilities of kr83.8b due within 12 months, and liabilities of kr19.8b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of kr12.1b and kr41.3b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling kr50.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of kr78.0b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Skanska boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Skanska if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 45% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Skanska's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Skanska has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Skanska saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Summing Up

Although Skanska's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of kr251.0m. Despite the cash, we do find Skanska's EBIT growth rate concerning, so we're not particularly comfortable with the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Skanska you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.