There wouldn't be many who think OXE Marine AB (publ)'s (STO:OXE) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Machinery industry in Sweden is very similar. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for OXE Marine
How Has OXE Marine Performed Recently?
OXE Marine hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think OXE Marine's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like OXE Marine's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.2%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 46% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue growth will be highly resilient over the next year growing by 56%. That would be an excellent outcome when the industry is expected to decline by 1.5%.
In light of this, it's peculiar that OXE Marine's P/S sits in-line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the contrarian forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From OXE Marine's P/S?
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that OXE Marine currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its growth forecasts are potentially beating a struggling industry. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. One such risk is that the company may not live up to analysts' revenue trajectories in tough industry conditions. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for OXE Marine (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:OXE
OXE Marine
Designs, develops, and distributes diesel outboard engines for the marine market in Sweden and internationally.
Moderate and fair value.