The board of NCC AB (publ) (STO:NCC B) has announced that it will pay a dividend of SEK3.00 per share on the 9th of November. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 6.8%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
View our latest analysis for NCC
NCC's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, NCC's earnings were much higher than the dividend, but it wasn't converting those earnings into cash flow. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 22.0% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 43% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was SEK10.00 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was SEK6.00. The dividend has shrunk at around 5.0% a year during that period. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
NCC Could Grow Its Dividend
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. NCC has impressed us by growing EPS at 6.3% per year over the past five years. The company is paying out a lot of its cash as a dividend, but it looks okay based on the payout ratio.
In Summary
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While NCC is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. To that end, NCC has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about. Is NCC not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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About OM:NCC B
NCC
Operates as a construction company in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and Finland.
Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.