Stock Analysis

Analysts Just Published A Bright New Outlook For Invisio AB (publ)'s (STO:IVSO)

OM:IVSO
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Shareholders in Invisio AB (publ) (STO:IVSO) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just delivered a major upgrade to their near-term forecasts. The consensus statutory numbers for both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) increased, with their view clearly much more bullish on the company's business prospects. Investor sentiment seems to be improving too, with the share price up 6.7% to kr225 over the past 7 days. Whether the upgrade is enough to drive the stock price higher is yet to be seen, however.

Following the upgrade, the current consensus from Invisio's twin analysts is for revenues of kr1.2b in 2023 which - if met - would reflect a huge 29% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to leap 95% to kr4.71. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of kr1.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr2.92 in 2023. So we can see there's been a pretty clear increase in analyst sentiment in recent times, with both revenues and earnings per share receiving a decent lift in the latest estimates.

View our latest analysis for Invisio

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OM:IVSO Earnings and Revenue Growth May 9th 2023

Despite these upgrades, the analysts have not made any major changes to their price target of kr215, suggesting that the higher estimates are not likely to have a long term impact on what the stock is worth. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Invisio at kr240 per share, while the most bearish prices it at kr190. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that Invisio is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Invisio's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Invisio's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 41% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2023 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 16% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 12% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Invisio is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us from these new estimates is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, with improved earnings power expected for this year. They also upgraded their revenue estimates for this year, and sales are expected to grow faster than the wider market. The lack of change in the price target is puzzling, but with a serious upgrade to this year's earnings expectations, it might be time to take another look at Invisio.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have analyst estimates for Invisio going out as far as 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.