The board of FM Mattsson AB (publ) (STO:FMM B) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 24th of November, with investors receiving SEK1.00 per share. This means the annual payment is 3.7% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
FM Mattsson's Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, FM Mattsson's dividend made up quite a large proportion of earnings but only 51% of free cash flows. Since the dividend is just paying out cash to shareholders, we care more about the cash payout ratio from which we can see plenty is being left over for reinvestment in the business.
Earnings per share could rise by 6.9% over the next year if things go the same way as they have for the last few years. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 81%, which is on the higher side, but certainly still feasible.
See our latest analysis for FM Mattsson
FM Mattsson's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
Looking back, FM Mattsson's dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. This suggests that the dividend might not be the most reliable. Since 2017, the dividend has gone from SEK1.00 total annually to SEK2.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 9.1% over that duration. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. FM Mattsson might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.
We Could See FM Mattsson's Dividend Growing
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. It's encouraging to see that FM Mattsson has been growing its earnings per share at 6.9% a year over the past five years. Past earnings growth has been decent, but unless this is one of those rare businesses that can grow without additional capital investment or marketing spend, we'd generally expect the higher payout ratio to limit its future growth prospects.
In Summary
Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We don't think FM Mattsson is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for FM Mattsson (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.