It's not a stretch to say that Fagerhult Group AB's (STO:FAG) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Sweden, where the median P/E ratio is around 24x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Fagerhult Group could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Check out our latest analysis for Fagerhult Group
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Fagerhult Group.How Is Fagerhult Group's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Fagerhult Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 15%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 28% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 19% per year as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 18% per year, which is not materially different.
With this information, we can see why Fagerhult Group is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Fagerhult Group's P/E
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Fagerhult Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook is contributing to its current P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a high or low P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Fagerhult Group that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Fagerhult Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:FAG
Fagerhult Group
Engages in the manufacture and sale of professional lighting solutions worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.