If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at AB Fagerhult (STO:FAG) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for AB Fagerhult:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.037 = kr411m ÷ (kr13b - kr1.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Thus, AB Fagerhult has an ROCE of 3.7%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Electrical industry average of 11%.
Check out our latest analysis for AB Fagerhult
In the above chart we have measured AB Fagerhult's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Can We Tell From AB Fagerhult's ROCE Trend?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at AB Fagerhult, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 14%, but since then they've fallen to 3.7%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
Our Take On AB Fagerhult's ROCE
In summary, AB Fagerhult is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 30% to shareholders over the last five years. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.
On a separate note, we've found 2 warning signs for AB Fagerhult you'll probably want to know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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About OM:FAG
Fagerhult Group
Engages in the manufacture and sale of professional lighting solutions worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential and pays a dividend.