Stock Analysis
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- SASE:7201
Revenues Not Telling The Story For Arab Sea Information Systems Company (TADAWUL:7201)
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Software industry in Saudi Arabia have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.8x, Arab Sea Information Systems Company (TADAWUL:7201) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 15x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Arab Sea Information Systems
What Does Arab Sea Information Systems' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
It looks like revenue growth has deserted Arab Sea Information Systems recently, which is not something to boast about. Perhaps the market believes that revenue growth will improve markedly over current levels, inflating the P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Arab Sea Information Systems, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Arab Sea Information Systems' Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Arab Sea Information Systems' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Although pleasingly revenue has lifted 54% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some questions to ponder about the last 12 months.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 21% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's alarming that Arab Sea Information Systems' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
The fact that Arab Sea Information Systems currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Arab Sea Information Systems (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SASE:7201
Arab Sea Information Systems
Engages in the production of software for small, medium, and large businesses in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.