Stock Analysis

Saudi Real Estate's (TADAWUL:4020) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations

SASE:4020
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Saudi Real Estate Company's (TADAWUL:4020) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

View our latest analysis for Saudi Real Estate

earnings-and-revenue-history
SASE:4020 Earnings and Revenue History June 2nd 2022

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, Saudi Real Estate increased the number of shares on issue by 56% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. You can see a chart of Saudi Real Estate's EPS by clicking here.

How Is Dilution Impacting Saudi Real Estate's Earnings Per Share? (EPS)

Saudi Real Estate was losing money three years ago. Zooming in to the last year, we still can't talk about growth rates coherently, since it made a loss last year. But mathematics aside, it is always good to see when a formerly unprofitable business come good (though we accept profit would have been higher if dilution had not been required). So you can see that the dilution has had a fairly significant impact on shareholders.

In the long term, if Saudi Real Estate's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Saudi Real Estate.

Our Take On Saudi Real Estate's Profit Performance

Saudi Real Estate issued shares during the year, and that means its EPS performance lags its net income growth. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Saudi Real Estate's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Saudi Real Estate (2 make us uncomfortable) you should be familiar with.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Saudi Real Estate's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Saudi Real Estate is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.