Stock Analysis

Did You Participate In Any Of Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services' (TADAWUL:4200) Fantastic 243% Return ?

SASE:4200
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It might seem bad, but the worst that can happen when you buy a stock (without leverage) is that its share price goes to zero. But in contrast you can make much more than 100% if the company does well. For example, the Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Company (TADAWUL:4200) share price has soared 212% in the last three years. That sort of return is as solid as granite. We note the stock price is up 3.7% in the last seven days.

View our latest analysis for Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services was able to grow its EPS at 23% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. In comparison, the 46% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did three years ago. It's not unusual to see the market 're-rate' a stock, after a few years of growth.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
SASE:4200 Earnings Per Share Growth February 24th 2021

This free interactive report on Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services' TSR for the last 3 years was 243%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services shareholders have received returns of 11% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the general market return. It has to be noted that the recent return falls short of the 24% shareholders have gained each year, over half a decade. More recently, the share price growth has slowed. But it has to be said the overall picture is one of good long term and short term performance. Arguably that makes Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services a stock worth watching. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on SA exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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