Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services (SASE:4200) - Share price, News & Analysis

4200 fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	1/6
Future Growth	5/6
Past Performance	5/6
Financial Health	4/6
Dividends	4/6

4200 Stock Overview

Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Company engages in the wholesale and retail of fuel, gasoline, and oil in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Rewards

Earnings are forecast to grow 21.94% per year

Earnings grew by 53.6% over the past year

Risk Analysis

Unstable dividend track record

Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	ر.س66.50
52 Week High	ر.س85.50
52 Week Low	ر.س64.00
Beta	0.14
1 Month Change	-10.50%
3 Month Change	-19.59%
1 Year Change	-0.45%
3 Year Change	143.06%
5 Year Change	313.04%
Change since IPO	259.33%

Recent News & Updates

Jun 03

Do Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services's (TADAWUL:4200) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Some have more dollars than sense, they say, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling...

Apr 20

Investors Could Be Concerned With Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services' (TADAWUL:4200) Returns On Capital

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'll want...

Shareholder Returns

	4200	SA Oil and Gas	SA Market
7D	-5.7%	-3.4%	-3.6%
1Y	-0.4%	14.8%	11.2%

Return vs Industry: 4200 underperformed the SA Oil and Gas industry which returned 14.9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: 4200 underperformed the SA Market which returned 10.8% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is 4200's price volatile compared to industry and market?
4200 volatility
4200 Average Weekly Movement	3.4%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement	6.5%
Market Average Movement	4.8%
10% most volatile stocks in SA Market	7.0%
10% least volatile stocks in SA Market	3.1%

Stable Share Price: 4200 is less volatile than 75% of SA stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 3% a week.

Volatility Over Time: 4200's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
1957	n/a	Abdulelah Bin Saad Al-Drees	https://www.aldrees.com

Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Company engages in the wholesale and retail of fuel, gasoline, and oil in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through Petroleum Services and Transport Services segments. It operates approximately 640 fuel stations.

Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Fundamentals Summary

How do Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
4200 fundamental statistics
Market Cap	ر.س4.99b
Earnings (TTM)	ر.س199.86m
Revenue (TTM)	ر.س10.13b

25.0x

P/E Ratio

0.5x

P/S Ratio

Is 4200 overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
4200 income statement (TTM)
Revenue	ر.س10.13b
Cost of Revenue	ر.س9.65b
Gross Profit	ر.س484.02m
Other Expenses	ر.س284.15m
Earnings	ر.س199.86m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2022

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	2.66
Gross Margin	4.78%
Net Profit Margin	1.97%
Debt/Equity Ratio	17.8%

How did 4200 perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

2.3%

Current Dividend Yield

56%

Payout Ratio

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Valuation

Is 4200 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
PEG Ratio

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4200?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for 4200. This is calculated by dividing 4200's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is 4200's n/a Ratio?
n/a Ratio	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	ر.س4.99b

4200 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	18.7x
PEG Ratio	1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4200's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

4200 PE Ratio vs Peers

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4200 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	73.9x

Forward PE

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4200 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x) compared to the peer average (73.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4200's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oil and Gas Industry?

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4200 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x) compared to the SA Oil and Gas industry average (24.1x)

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4200's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4200 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	25x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4200's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4200 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4200 (SAR66.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR46.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4200 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: 4200 is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (1.1x)

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Future Growth

How is Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 4 analysts?

Future Growth Score

5/6

Future Growth Score 5/6

Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Future ROE

21.9%

Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 4200's forecast earnings growth (21.9% per year) is above the savings rate (9%).

Earnings vs Market: 4200's earnings (21.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the SA market (-1.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 4200's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 4200's revenue (16% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the SA market (-2.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 4200's revenue (16% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 4200's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (25.5%)

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Past Performance

How has Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

5/6

Past Performance Score 5/6

Quality Earnings
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings Trend
Accelerating Growth
Earnings vs Industry
High ROE

24.5%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: 4200 has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: 4200's current net profit margins (2%) are lower than last year (2.5%).

Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: 4200's earnings have grown significantly by 24.5% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: 4200's earnings growth over the past year (53.6%) exceeds its 5-year average (24.5% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: 4200 earnings growth over the past year (53.6%) exceeded the Oil and Gas industry 35.5%.

Return on Equity

High ROE: 4200's Return on Equity (21.1%) is considered high.

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Financial Health

How is Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services's financial position?

Financial Health Score

4/6

Financial Health Score 4/6

Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Debt Level
Reducing Debt
Debt Coverage
Interest Coverage

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: 4200's short term assets (SAR1.2B) do not cover its short term liabilities (SAR1.9B).

Long Term Liabilities: 4200's short term assets (SAR1.2B) do not cover its long term liabilities (SAR2.9B).

Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: 4200 has more cash than its total debt.

Reducing Debt: 4200's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 87% to 17.8% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: 4200's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (593.1%).

Interest Coverage: 4200's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (3.1x coverage).

Balance Sheet

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Dividend

What is Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

4/6

Dividend Score 4/6

Notable Dividend
High Dividend
Stable Dividend
Growing Dividend
Earnings Coverage
Future Dividend Coverage

2.26%

Current Dividend Yield

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: 4200's dividend (2.26%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the SA market (1.97%).

High Dividend: 4200's dividend (2.26%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the SA market (4.64%).

Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: 4200's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: 4200's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.

Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: With its reasonable payout ratio (56.3%), 4200's dividend payments are covered by earnings.

Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: With its low cash payout ratio (14.8%), 4200's dividend payments are thoroughly covered by cash flows.

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Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

CEO

Abdulelah Bin Saad Al-Drees

7.5yrs

Tenure

Eng. Abdulelah Bin Saad Al-Drees has been the Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director of Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Company Ltd. since December 22, 2014. Eng.Bin Saad Al-Drees served a...

Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?

Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2022/06/24 00:00
End of Day Share Price	2022/06/23 00:00
Earnings	2022/03/31
Annual Earnings	2021/12/31