Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Company

SASE:4200 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س13.2b

Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Valuation

Is 4200 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4200 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4200 (SAR130.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR119.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4200 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4200?

Key metric: As 4200 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4200. This is calculated by dividing 4200's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4200's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio41.3x
Earningsر.س316.98m
Market Capر.س13.20b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4200's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4200 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.8x
4050 Saudi Automotive Services
51.4xn/aر.س5.5b
4190 Jarir Marketing
15.8x7.3%ر.س15.4b
4003 United Electronics
15.3x13.1%ر.س7.4b
4165 Al Majed for Oud
20.7x11.1%ر.س3.7b
4200 Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services
41.3x15.7%ر.س13.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4200 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.3x) compared to the peer average (25.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4200's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Specialty Retail Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4200 41.3xIndustry Avg. 17.6xNo. of Companies48PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4200 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.3x) compared to the Asian Specialty Retail industry average (17.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4200's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4200 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio41.3x
Fair PE Ratio29.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4200 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4200 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س131.60
ر.س120.18
-8.7%
6.3%ر.س129.40ر.س108.00n/a6
Nov ’25ر.س138.40
ر.س120.27
-13.1%
6.3%ر.س129.40ر.س108.00n/a6
Oct ’25ر.س131.40
ر.س120.02
-8.7%
6.1%ر.س129.00ر.س108.00n/a6
Sep ’25ر.س124.40
ر.س120.02
-3.5%
6.1%ر.س129.00ر.س108.00n/a6
Aug ’25ر.س111.60
ر.س113.83
+2.0%
7.8%ر.س128.09ر.س102.00n/a7
Jul ’25ر.س119.60
ر.س112.95
-5.6%
7.7%ر.س128.09ر.س102.00n/a8
Jun ’25ر.س111.40
ر.س112.95
+1.4%
7.7%ر.س128.09ر.س102.00n/a8
May ’25ر.س126.75
ر.س106.02
-16.4%
14.8%ر.س129.75ر.س75.00n/a9
Apr ’25ر.س121.35
ر.س106.02
-12.6%
14.8%ر.س129.75ر.س75.00n/a9
Mar ’25ر.س135.30
ر.س106.60
-21.2%
15.6%ر.س135.00ر.س75.00n/a9
Feb ’25ر.س124.05
ر.س101.06
-18.5%
16.8%ر.س135.00ر.س75.00n/a8
Jan ’25ر.س136.05
ر.س95.01
-30.2%
10.5%ر.س106.50ر.س75.00n/a8
Dec ’24ر.س96.90
ر.س94.77
-2.2%
10.5%ر.س106.50ر.س75.00n/a8
Nov ’24ر.س86.40
ر.س93.37
+8.1%
9.2%ر.س102.75ر.س75.00ر.س138.407
Oct ’24ر.س103.80
ر.س94.94
-8.5%
13.0%ر.س111.00ر.س70.50ر.س131.406
Sep ’24ر.س102.00
ر.س94.94
-6.9%
13.0%ر.س111.00ر.س70.50ر.س124.406
Aug ’24ر.س88.05
ر.س93.98
+6.7%
14.1%ر.س111.00ر.س70.50ر.س111.605
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س86.44
0%
17.4%ر.س111.00ر.س70.50ر.س119.604
Jun ’24ر.س83.40
ر.س77.81
-6.7%
6.4%ر.س84.00ر.س70.50ر.س111.404
May ’24ر.س76.35
ر.س72.94
-4.5%
8.2%ر.س80.25ر.س64.50ر.س126.754
Apr ’24ر.س71.18
ر.س71.06
-0.2%
7.8%ر.س76.50ر.س62.25ر.س121.354
Mar ’24ر.س63.68
ر.س71.25
+11.9%
9.0%ر.س76.50ر.س62.25ر.س135.303
Feb ’24ر.س59.70
ر.س67.69
+13.4%
7.5%ر.س75.00ر.س62.25ر.س124.054
Jan ’24ر.س55.58
ر.س67.69
+21.8%
7.5%ر.س75.00ر.س62.25ر.س136.054
Dec ’23ر.س55.13
ر.س68.25
+23.8%
6.6%ر.س75.00ر.س63.75ر.س96.904
Nov ’23ر.س53.55
ر.س68.07
+27.1%
6.0%ر.س75.00ر.س63.75ر.س86.405

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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