Jarir Marketing Company

SASE:4190 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س17.6b

Jarir Marketing Valuation

Is 4190 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4190 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4190 (SAR14.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR12.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4190 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4190?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4190 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.6x
PEG Ratio2.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4190's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4190 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average67.1x
4191 Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati for Bookstores
37.6xn/aر.س598.0m
4003 United Electronics
18.7x14.3%ر.س7.2b
4192 Al-Saif Stores for Development & Investment
39.6xn/aر.س3.9b
4240 Fawaz Abdulaziz Al Hokair
172.7x81.4%ر.س1.9b
4190 Jarir Marketing
18.1x6.6%ر.س17.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4190 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x) compared to the peer average (67.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4190's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4190 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x) compared to the Asian Specialty Retail industry average (16.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4190's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4190 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.1x
Fair PE Ratio17.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4190 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4190 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س14.70
ر.س16.99
+15.6%
12.0%ر.س21.00ر.س13.85n/a15
Mar ’25ر.س15.58
ر.س17.19
+10.3%
11.7%ر.س21.00ر.س13.85n/a14
Feb ’25ر.س15.14
ر.س17.26
+14.0%
11.5%ر.س21.00ر.س13.85n/a14
Jan ’25ر.س15.62
ر.س17.46
+11.8%
10.9%ر.س20.60ر.س13.85n/a14
Dec ’24ر.س14.58
ر.س17.45
+19.7%
10.8%ر.س20.60ر.س13.85n/a14
Nov ’24ر.س14.26
ر.س17.31
+21.4%
11.0%ر.س20.60ر.س13.85n/a14
Oct ’24ر.س14.42
ر.س17.45
+21.0%
11.8%ر.س20.60ر.س13.85n/a14
Sep ’24ر.س14.76
ر.س17.45
+18.2%
11.8%ر.س20.60ر.س13.85n/a14
Aug ’24ر.س15.60
ر.س18.16
+16.4%
9.3%ر.س20.60ر.س14.60n/a12
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س18.16
0%
9.3%ر.س20.60ر.س14.60n/a12
Jun ’24ر.س17.20
ر.س18.42
+7.1%
9.2%ر.س20.97ر.س15.30n/a12
May ’24ر.س16.72
ر.س18.09
+8.2%
9.0%ر.س20.97ر.س15.30n/a13
Apr ’24ر.س16.30
ر.س18.13
+11.2%
9.1%ر.س21.00ر.س15.30n/a13
Mar ’24ر.س14.56
ر.س18.48
+26.9%
10.7%ر.س22.00ر.س15.30ر.س15.5812
Feb ’24ر.س15.08
ر.س18.40
+22.0%
11.6%ر.س22.00ر.س15.30ر.س15.1413
Jan ’24ر.س15.10
ر.س18.92
+25.3%
10.6%ر.س22.00ر.س15.30ر.س15.6213
Dec ’23ر.س16.10
ر.س18.92
+17.5%
10.6%ر.س22.00ر.س15.30ر.س14.5813
Nov ’23ر.س16.58
ر.س18.91
+14.1%
10.2%ر.س22.00ر.س15.30ر.س14.2614
Oct ’23ر.س16.70
ر.س18.83
+12.7%
11.4%ر.س22.00ر.س15.30ر.س14.4214
Sep ’23ر.س17.12
ر.س18.88
+10.3%
11.4%ر.س22.00ر.س15.50ر.س14.7613
Aug ’23ر.س17.10
ر.س19.46
+13.8%
12.7%ر.س22.50ر.س15.50ر.س15.6013
Jul ’23ر.س16.26
ر.س21.27
+30.8%
7.3%ر.س23.50ر.س18.50n/a13
Jun ’23ر.س16.12
ر.س21.82
+35.4%
9.0%ر.س26.20ر.س18.50ر.س17.2013
May ’23ر.س19.20
ر.س22.44
+16.9%
7.8%ر.س26.20ر.س19.50ر.س16.7213
Apr ’23ر.س19.70
ر.س22.81
+15.8%
8.1%ر.س26.20ر.س19.50ر.س16.3013
Mar ’23ر.س21.08
ر.س22.85
+8.4%
8.1%ر.س26.20ر.س19.50ر.س14.5613

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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