Jarir Marketing Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Jarir Marketing is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.3% and 4.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 4.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 61% in 3 years.

Key information

6.3%

Earnings growth rate

4.4%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth	17.3%
Revenue growth rate	4.8%
Future return on equity	61.0%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	17 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Revenue Beat: Jarir Marketing Company Beat Analyst Estimates By 12%

Aug 11

Recent updates

Jarir Marketing Company (TADAWUL:4190) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Oct 22

Jarir Marketing's (TADAWUL:4190) Shareholders May Want To Dig Deeper Than Statutory Profit

Mar 18

Jarir Marketing Company's (TADAWUL:4190) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

Jan 23

Some Investors May Be Worried About Jarir Marketing's (TADAWUL:4190) Returns On Capital

Nov 28

Revenue Beat: Jarir Marketing Company Beat Analyst Estimates By 12%

Aug 11

Returns On Capital At Jarir Marketing (TADAWUL:4190) Paint A Concerning Picture

Jul 26

A Look At The Fair Value Of Jarir Marketing Company (TADAWUL:4190)

Apr 30

Be Wary Of Jarir Marketing (TADAWUL:4190) And Its Returns On Capital

Apr 09

Jarir Marketing (TADAWUL:4190) Is Aiming To Keep Up Its Impressive Returns

Jan 06

Jarir Marketing Company (TADAWUL:4190) Shares Could Be 21% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Dec 01

Here's What Jarir Marketing's (TADAWUL:4190) Strong Returns On Capital Mean

Sep 20

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Jarir Marketing Company (TADAWUL:4190)

Aug 15

Estimating The Fair Value Of Jarir Marketing Company (TADAWUL:4190)

Apr 23

Jarir Marketing (TADAWUL:4190) Is Reinvesting To Multiply In Value

Oct 18

Capital Investments At Jarir Marketing (TADAWUL:4190) Point To A Promising Future

Jul 11

Why You Should Care About Jarir Marketing's (TADAWUL:4190) Strong Returns On Capital

Apr 07

We Wouldn't Be Too Quick To Buy Jarir Marketing Company (TADAWUL:4190) Before It Goes Ex-Dividend

Mar 20

Jarir Marketing (TADAWUL:4190) Has Gifted Shareholders With A Fantastic 165% Total Return On Their Investment

Mar 18

What You Need To Know About Jarir Marketing Company's (TADAWUL:4190) Investor Composition

Feb 23

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SASE:4190 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (SAR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	11,927	1,102	1,156	1,261	9
12/31/2025	11,371	1,011	1,107	1,179	10
12/31/2024	10,917	966	1,070	1,266	9
9/30/2024	10,769	972	1,010	1,061	N/A
6/30/2024	10,741	960	1,277	1,326	N/A
3/31/2024	10,527	945	1,078	1,119	N/A
12/31/2023	10,595	973	646	689	N/A
9/30/2023	10,370	967	805	855	N/A
6/30/2023	10,248	945	694	744	N/A
3/31/2023	9,822	966	564	617	N/A
12/31/2022	9,392	970	948	999	N/A
9/30/2022	9,133	965	901	955	N/A
6/30/2022	8,840	963	1,032	1,084	N/A
3/31/2022	8,845	976	1,366	1,430	N/A
12/31/2021	9,088	992	1,358	1,428	N/A
9/30/2021	9,324	1,017	1,580	1,659	N/A
6/30/2021	9,137	1,000	507	601	N/A
3/31/2021	9,496	1,019	911	990	N/A
12/31/2020	9,306	1,003	1,317	1,397	N/A
9/30/2020	9,146	992	1,071	1,138	N/A
6/30/2020	9,359	1,042	1,989	2,045	N/A
3/31/2020	8,878	1,003	1,315	1,395	N/A
12/31/2019	8,425	985	889	973	N/A
9/30/2019	8,167	998	869	971	N/A
6/30/2019	7,848	981	615	729	N/A
3/31/2019	7,649	975	521	638	N/A
12/31/2018	7,362	960	571	696	N/A
9/30/2018	7,225	922	883	1,023	N/A
6/30/2018	6,945	880	N/A	757	N/A
3/31/2018	6,836	865	N/A	865	N/A
12/31/2017	6,942	868	N/A	928	N/A
9/30/2017	6,735	831	N/A	791	N/A
6/30/2017	6,604	802	N/A	894	N/A
3/31/2017	6,410	781	N/A	818	N/A
12/31/2016	6,123	734	N/A	938	N/A
9/30/2016	5,853	727	N/A	927	N/A
6/30/2016	5,868	728	N/A	1,007	N/A
3/31/2016	5,883	756	N/A	921	N/A
12/31/2015	6,375	828	N/A	910	N/A
9/30/2015	6,436	826	N/A	830	N/A
6/30/2015	6,326	811	N/A	715	N/A
3/31/2015	6,209	791	N/A	793	N/A
12/31/2014	5,699	745	N/A	809	N/A
9/30/2014	5,435	700	N/A	795	N/A
6/30/2014	5,343	683	N/A	851	N/A
3/31/2014	5,312	674	N/A	787	N/A
12/31/2013	5,243	653	N/A	591	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 4190's forecast earnings growth (6.3% per year) is below the savings rate (14.7%).

Earnings vs Market: 4190's earnings (6.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the SA market (5.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 4190's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 4190's revenue (4.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the SA market (-0.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 4190's revenue (4.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 4190's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (61%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/20 23:39
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Jarir Marketing Company is covered by 27 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Jassim Al-Jubran	Aljazira Capital Company
Talha Nazar ul Haque	Aljazira Capital Company
Kais Kriaa	AlphaMena

Jarir Marketing Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Revenue Beat: Jarir Marketing Company Beat Analyst Estimates By 12%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 14%

Recent updates

New minor risk - Financial position

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Second quarter dividend of ر.س0.26 announced

Jarir Marketing Company (TADAWUL:4190) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Jarir Marketing (TADAWUL:4190) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: ر.س0.14 (vs ر.س0.13 in 2Q 2023)

Jarir Marketing Company announces Quarterly dividend, payable on August 21, 2024

Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Jarir Marketing (TADAWUL:4190)

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Fourth quarter dividend of ر.س0.19 announced

Investors Aren't Buying Jarir Marketing Company's (TADAWUL:4190) Earnings

Jarir Marketing Company, Annual General Meeting, May 30, 2024

Now 22% overvalued

Jarir Marketing's (TADAWUL:4190) Shareholders May Want To Dig Deeper Than Statutory Profit

New major risk - Earnings quality

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Third quarter dividend of ر.س0.23 announced

Jarir Marketing Company's (TADAWUL:4190) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

Some Investors May Be Worried About Jarir Marketing's (TADAWUL:4190) Returns On Capital

Third quarter 2023 earnings released

Revenue Beat: Jarir Marketing Company Beat Analyst Estimates By 12%

Second quarter 2023 earnings released

Returns On Capital At Jarir Marketing (TADAWUL:4190) Paint A Concerning Picture

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 90%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 14%

A Look At The Fair Value Of Jarir Marketing Company (TADAWUL:4190)

Be Wary Of Jarir Marketing (TADAWUL:4190) And Its Returns On Capital

Jarir Marketing (TADAWUL:4190) Is Aiming To Keep Up Its Impressive Returns

Jarir Marketing Company Appoints Muhammad Bin Abdullah Bin Abdul Rahman Al-Agil as Non- Executive Director

Jarir Marketing Co. Announces Resignation of Abdullah bin Abdul Rahman Al-Agil as a Board Member

Jarir Marketing Company (TADAWUL:4190) Shares Could Be 21% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Less than half of directors are independent

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Jarir Marketing Co. Announces the Distribution of Cash Dividend for Third Quarter 2022, Payable on 23 November 2022

Here's What Jarir Marketing's (TADAWUL:4190) Strong Returns On Capital Mean

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Jarir Marketing Company (TADAWUL:4190)

Less than half of directors are independent

Jarir Marketing Company Announces Closure of Its Showroom at Palestine Street in Jeddah Governorate

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Jarir Marketing Co. Announces the Distribution of Cash Dividend for First Quarter 2022, Payable May 25, 2022

Less than half of directors are independent

Estimating The Fair Value Of Jarir Marketing Company (TADAWUL:4190)

Less than half of directors are independent

Jarir Marketing Company Announces Distribution of Cash Dividend for the Fourth Quarter of 2021, Payable on March 23, 2022

Jarir Marketing Company, Annual General Meeting, Mar 01, 2022

Jarir Marketing Company Announces the Closure of Its Showroom in Showroom on Corniche Road, Nation Galleria Complex in Abu Dhabi

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ر.س2.27 (vs ر.س2.13 in 3Q 2020)

Jarir Marketing (TADAWUL:4190) Is Reinvesting To Multiply In Value

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ر.س1.58 (vs ر.س1.74 in 2Q 2020)

Capital Investments At Jarir Marketing (TADAWUL:4190) Point To A Promising Future

Jarir Marketing Co. Announces Dividend for the First Quarter of 2021, Payable on 09 June 2021

First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ر.س2.23 (vs ر.س2.10 in 1Q 2020)

Why You Should Care About Jarir Marketing's (TADAWUL:4190) Strong Returns On Capital

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS ر.س8.36 (vs ر.س8.21 in FY 2019)

We Wouldn't Be Too Quick To Buy Jarir Marketing Company (TADAWUL:4190) Before It Goes Ex-Dividend

Jarir Marketing Company Announces Distribution for the Fourth Quarter of 2020, Distribution on March 31, 2021

Jarir Marketing (TADAWUL:4190) Has Gifted Shareholders With A Fantastic 165% Total Return On Their Investment

What You Need To Know About Jarir Marketing Company's (TADAWUL:4190) Investor Composition

Jarir Marketing Company Announces the Closure of Its Showroom in Al Ain, United Arab Emirates

Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS ر.س2.13

Earnings beat expectations, revenue disappoints

New 90-day high: ر.س189

New 90-day high - ر.س172

Earnings released

New 90-day high - ر.س153

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data Sources

Analysis Model and Snowflake