Is 4003 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6
Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 4003 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 4003 (SAR97) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR47.1)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 4003 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4003?
Key metric: As 4003 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4003. This is calculated by dividing 4003's market cap by their current
earnings.
What is 4003's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio
15.4x
Earnings
ر.س482.87m
Market Cap
ر.س7.39b
4003 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4003 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x) compared to the Asian Specialty Retail industry average (17.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 4003's PE Ratio
compared to its
Fair PE Ratio?
This is the expected PE Ratio taking into
account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins
and other risk factors.
4003 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio
15.4x
Fair PE Ratio
24.2x
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4003 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.2x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
The above table shows the analyst 4003 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date
Share Price
Average 1Y Price Target
Dispersion
High
Low
1Y Actual price
Analysts
Current
ر.س97.30
ر.س108.77
+11.8%
7.0%
ر.س120.00
ر.س97.30
n/a
7
Nov ’25
ر.س101.00
ر.س108.77
+7.7%
7.0%
ر.س120.00
ر.س97.30
n/a
7
Oct ’25
ر.س94.30
ر.س110.18
+16.8%
7.3%
ر.س120.00
ر.س97.30
n/a
8
Sep ’25
ر.س92.50
ر.س108.27
+17.0%
8.6%
ر.س120.00
ر.س93.00
n/a
9
Aug ’25
ر.س93.20
ر.س106.32
+14.1%
9.7%
ر.س120.00
ر.س91.44
n/a
9
Jul ’25
ر.س95.80
ر.س106.85
+11.5%
9.7%
ر.س120.00
ر.س91.44
n/a
9
Jun ’25
ر.س89.00
ر.س105.18
+18.2%
8.8%
ر.س120.00
ر.س91.44
n/a
9
May ’25
ر.س98.70
ر.س102.16
+3.5%
12.4%
ر.س120.00
ر.س75.00
n/a
10
Apr ’25
ر.س96.00
ر.س99.15
+3.3%
11.5%
ر.س115.00
ر.س75.00
n/a
9
Mar ’25
ر.س95.50
ر.س99.15
+3.8%
11.5%
ر.س115.00
ر.س75.00
n/a
9
Feb ’25
ر.س90.80
ر.س98.24
+8.2%
12.4%
ر.س115.00
ر.س75.00
n/a
8
Jan ’25
ر.س92.60
ر.س93.74
+1.2%
12.1%
ر.س115.00
ر.س75.00
n/a
8
Dec ’24
ر.س79.10
ر.س92.87
+17.4%
12.4%
ر.س115.00
ر.س75.00
n/a
8
Nov ’24
ر.س80.70
ر.س91.50
+13.4%
12.5%
ر.س115.00
ر.س75.00
ر.س101.00
9
Oct ’24
ر.س75.40
ر.س88.94
+18.0%
9.3%
ر.س105.00
ر.س75.00
ر.س94.30
8
Sep ’24
ر.س76.10
ر.س89.84
+18.1%
7.7%
ر.س105.00
ر.س82.00
ر.س92.50
8
Aug ’24
ر.س82.00
ر.س89.81
+9.5%
7.7%
ر.س105.00
ر.س82.00
ر.س93.20
8
Jul ’24
n/a
ر.س89.81
0%
7.7%
ر.س105.00
ر.س82.00
ر.س95.80
8
Jun ’24
ر.س72.70
ر.س95.45
+31.3%
22.0%
ر.س150.00
ر.س82.00
ر.س89.00
8
May ’24
ر.س76.40
ر.س96.04
+25.7%
21.6%
ر.س150.00
ر.س82.00
ر.س98.70
8
Apr ’24
ر.س77.70
ر.س97.19
+25.1%
20.8%
ر.س150.00
ر.س83.00
ر.س96.00
8
Mar ’24
ر.س79.50
ر.س97.64
+22.8%
22.1%
ر.س150.00
ر.س83.00
ر.س95.50
7
Feb ’24
ر.س75.60
ر.س100.23
+32.6%
20.4%
ر.س150.00
ر.س90.30
ر.س90.80
7
Jan ’24
ر.س69.40
ر.س109.54
+57.8%
19.8%
ر.س150.00
ر.س90.30
ر.س92.60
7
Dec ’23
ر.س74.00
ر.س110.43
+49.2%
19.8%
ر.س150.00
ر.س90.30
ر.س79.10
7
Nov ’23
ر.س75.50
ر.س118.62
+57.1%
15.5%
ر.س150.00
ر.س96.09
ر.س80.70
8
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.