If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at SOCEP (BVB:SOCP), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for SOCEP:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.044 = RON15m ÷ (RON370m - RON22m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).
So, SOCEP has an ROCE of 4.4%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Infrastructure industry average of 7.1%.
View our latest analysis for SOCEP
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating SOCEP's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at SOCEP. The company has consistently earned 4.4% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 175% in that time. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
What We Can Learn From SOCEP's ROCE
As we've seen above, SOCEP's returns on capital haven't increased but it is reinvesting in the business. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 135% return in the last five years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
SOCEP does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for SOCEP that you might be interested in.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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About BVB:SOCP
SOCEP
Together with its subsidiary, SOCEFIN S.R.L., provides cargo handling services in the ports of Constanta and Agigea, Romania.
Solid track record and good value.