- Qatar
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- Industrials
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- DSM:IQCD
Industries Qatar Q.P.S.C (DSM:IQCD) jumps 3.1% this week, though earnings growth is still tracking behind five-year shareholder returns
Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, the Industries Qatar Q.P.S.C. (DSM:IQCD) share price is up 36% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 1.7% (ignoring dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 21%, including dividends.
Since the stock has added ر.ق2.5b to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.
View our latest analysis for Industries Qatar Q.P.S.C
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During five years of share price growth, Industries Qatar Q.P.S.C achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 8.8% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 6% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Industries Qatar Q.P.S.C, it has a TSR of 83% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
It's good to see that Industries Qatar Q.P.S.C has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 21% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 13% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Industries Qatar Q.P.S.C you should know about.
We will like Industries Qatar Q.P.S.C better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Qatari exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About DSM:IQCD
Industries Qatar Q.P.S.C
Through its subsidiaries operates petrochemical, fertilizer, and steel businesses in Qatar.
Flawless balance sheet with questionable track record.