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Updated 2d ago
NTR logo

Nutrien Ltd.TSX:NTR Stock Report

Market Cap CA$52.1b
Updated 2d ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y37.9%
7D-1.1%
1D-0.3%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Nutrien Ltd.

TSX:NTR Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$52.1b

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Nutrien (NTR) Stock Overview

Provides crop inputs and services. More details

NTR fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance4/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends3/6

Rewards

Trading at 22.5% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings grew by 74.6% over the past year

Risk Analysis

Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 1.9% per year for the next 3 years

Has a high level of debt


NTR Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 129 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
1.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•23d ago

Shifting Market Trends Will Shape Fertilizer Demand Amid Agricultural Cycle Uncertainty

1.4k
0
69
AN
AnalystHighTarget
3.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•9d ago

Automation And Sustainability Will Build Market Leadership

165
0
6
AN
AnalystLowTarget
11.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Accelerating Regulations And Rising Carbon Costs Will Squeeze Margins

218
0
2

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
1.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•23d ago

Shifting Market Trends Will Shape Fertilizer Demand Amid Agricultural Cycle Uncertainty

1.4k
0
69
AN
AnalystHighTarget
3.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•9d ago

Automation And Sustainability Will Build Market Leadership

165
0
6
AN
AnalystLowTarget
11.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Accelerating Regulations And Rising Carbon Costs Will Squeeze Margins

218
0
2
View all narratives

Nutrien Ltd. Competitors

Itafos

Symbol: TSXV:IFOS
Market cap: CA$463.6m

Teck Resources

Symbol: TSX:TECK.B
Market cap: CA$44.7b

Kinross Gold

Symbol: TSX:K
Market cap: CA$47.4b

Franco-Nevada

Symbol: TSX:FNV
Market cap: CA$69.5b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Nutrien
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceCA$108.80
52 Week HighCA$116.95
52 Week LowCA$74.77
Beta1.08
1 Month Change16.29%
3 Month Change15.00%
1 Year Change37.93%
3 Year Change25.64%
5 Year Change35.24%
Change since IPO57.68%

Recent News & Updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 04

NTR: Potash Stability And Cash Returns Will Drive Balanced Future Prospects

Nutrien's updated analyst price target has moved lower by about CA$8 to reflect reduced fair value and revenue growth assumptions, partly offset by a higher profit margin outlook and a more moderate future P/E, as analysts reassess fertilizer price volatility and sector risk and reward. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nutrien shows a mix of caution around fertilizer price swings and balanced risk, alongside a cluster of positive views that still see room for value if execution remains disciplined.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 21

NTR: Potash Stability And Capital Discipline Will Shape Balanced Forward Returns

Analysts have trimmed the Nutrien fair value estimate from CA$110.93 to CA$107.49. Recent price target cuts across the Street reflect a cautious view on near term fertilizer pricing and margins, even as many still highlight steady demand, potash resilience and capital discipline as support for the stock.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 06

NTR: Potash And Phosphate Stability Will Support Future Earnings Multiple

The analyst price target for Nutrien has been adjusted modestly lower to CA$110.93 from CA$113.81 as analysts factor in updated fertilizer price assumptions, a mix of cautious estimate revisions across the sector, and ongoing discussion around nitrogen, potash, and phosphate market conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nutrien shows a split view, with some bullish analysts leaning into fertilizer pricing and others more cautious on earnings sustainability, farmer demand, and longer term commodity assumptions.

Recent updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 04

NTR: Potash Stability And Cash Returns Will Drive Balanced Future Prospects

Nutrien's updated analyst price target has moved lower by about CA$8 to reflect reduced fair value and revenue growth assumptions, partly offset by a higher profit margin outlook and a more moderate future P/E, as analysts reassess fertilizer price volatility and sector risk and reward. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nutrien shows a mix of caution around fertilizer price swings and balanced risk, alongside a cluster of positive views that still see room for value if execution remains disciplined.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 21

NTR: Potash Stability And Capital Discipline Will Shape Balanced Forward Returns

Analysts have trimmed the Nutrien fair value estimate from CA$110.93 to CA$107.49. Recent price target cuts across the Street reflect a cautious view on near term fertilizer pricing and margins, even as many still highlight steady demand, potash resilience and capital discipline as support for the stock.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 06

NTR: Potash And Phosphate Stability Will Support Future Earnings Multiple

The analyst price target for Nutrien has been adjusted modestly lower to CA$110.93 from CA$113.81 as analysts factor in updated fertilizer price assumptions, a mix of cautious estimate revisions across the sector, and ongoing discussion around nitrogen, potash, and phosphate market conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nutrien shows a split view, with some bullish analysts leaning into fertilizer pricing and others more cautious on earnings sustainability, farmer demand, and longer term commodity assumptions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 22

NTR: Fertilizer Cycle Volatility And Cost Savings Will Shape Forward Returns

Analysts have lowered their average Nutrien price targets and now view fair value closer to CA$97. This reflects revised estimates for a volatile fertilizer cycle, more conservative margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple, even as they adopt more cautious views on nitrogen, potash, and phosphate demand.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 07

NTR: Tighter Fertilizer Markets And Buybacks Will Support Higher Future Earnings Multiple

The analyst price target for Nutrien has been adjusted higher to CA$113.81 from CA$109.12 as analysts weigh a mix of recent target cuts and upgrades, reflecting updated expectations for margins, revenue growth, and valuation multiples ahead of upcoming earnings updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nutrien highlights a split view, with some analysts focusing on potential upside after the stock pullback and others stressing the risk that current earnings expectations and margin assumptions may be too high.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 23

NTR: Elevated Fertilizer Prices And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

The analyst fair value estimate for Nutrien has been revised from CA$112.49 to CA$120.23, reflecting recent Street research that balances higher price targets from several firms with more cautious views on normalized fertilizer earnings, along with a modestly higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Nutrien points to a mixed but generally constructive tone, with several bullish analysts raising price targets or upgrading the stock while others adopt a more cautious view on where fertilizer earnings may ultimately settle.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 05

NTR: Tighter Fertilizer Markets Will Support Higher Future Earnings Multiple

The updated fair value estimate for Nutrien has moved to CA$109.12 from CA$105.25 as analysts factor in recent mixed price target revisions and a higher assumed future P/E multiple, even as revenue growth and profit margin assumptions are reset lower. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nutrien reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting ratings and targets in both directions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 20

NTR: Tighter Fertilizer Markets And DOJ Probe Will Guide Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Nutrien to CA$92.08 from CA$95.15, reflecting slightly lower revenue and margin assumptions, even as recent research points to mixed price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research presents a mixed picture, with some firms lifting price targets and ratings while others trim expectations or shift to a more cautious stance.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 03

NTR: Tighter Fertilizer Markets And DOJ Probe Will Shape Future Returns

The updated analyst price target for Nutrien reflects a small decrease of about CA$0.26. Analysts are balancing slightly softer implied revenue growth and a marginally higher discount rate against firmer profit margin assumptions and a modestly lower future P/E multiple.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 19

NTR: Tighter Fertilizer Markets And DOJ Probe Will Shape Balanced Outlook

The analyst price target for Nutrien has risen by CA$4.18. Analysts attribute this change to updated assumptions for slightly stronger revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple, reflecting the recent wave of higher sector targets and tighter global fertilizer markets.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 04

NTR: Tighter Fertilizer Markets And DOJ Probe Will Pressure Future Returns

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Nutrien higher to CA$95.41. This reflects a modestly lower discount rate, slightly firmer long term margin assumptions, and updated sector P/E comparisons that incorporate a wave of recent price target increases tied to tighter fertilizer markets and higher commodity pricing expectations.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 21

NTR: Higher Fertilizer Pricing And DOJ Probe Will Shape Share Performance

Analysts have lifted the average Nutrien price target by roughly CA$31 to around CA$95, citing stronger fertilizer pricing, higher expected profit margins and support for elevated sector valuation multiples, despite more cautious views on volume growth. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nutrien largely centers on fertilizer pricing, geopolitical risks and the earnings impact of tighter nitrogen and potash markets.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 07

NTR: Nutrient Pricing, Portfolio Actions And DOJ Probe Will Shape Balanced Outlook

The analyst price target for Nutrien has increased to CA$101.07 from CA$96.56, as analysts factor in firmer nutrient pricing expectations, potential nitrogen upside tied to recent geopolitical events, and company-specific portfolio actions that they view as supportive of earnings stability and cash generation. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a broadly constructive tone around Nutrien, with multiple firms updating models after the Q4 report and adjusting price targets on the back of nutrient pricing assumptions, portfolio moves, and expected cash generation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 21

NTR: Firmer Nutrient Pricing And Potash Supply Risks Will Shape Balanced Returns

Our updated fair value estimate for Nutrien edges higher to CA$96.56 from CA$91.99, reflecting a series of analyst price target increases tied to refreshed models after recent results, stronger assumed profit margins, and expectations that nutrient pricing holds firmer for longer, even as some remain cautious about future potash supply. Analyst Commentary Street research on Nutrien has been active, with several firms revisiting their models and adjusting price targets around recent and upcoming quarterly results.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 07

NTR: Reassessed P/E And Farm Headwinds Will Shape Balanced Returns Ahead

Analysts have raised our Nutrien fair value estimate to $91.99 from $88.43, as recent price target increases and rating changes suggest a reassessment of the stock's risk profile, growth outlook, and appropriate future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Nutrien has become more constructive, with several firms increasing price targets or improving ratings while others remain cautious on end market conditions and sector headwinds.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 23

NTR: Higher Fertilizer Pricing And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

Our analyst price target for Nutrien edges slightly lower to about $112.49 from $113.03, as analysts weigh mixed sector commentary on fertilizer and agriculture markets against recent target adjustments and an updated future P/E assumption of roughly 20.2x. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Nutrien reflects mixed sector views but a generally supportive tone on the company, with several bullish analysts adjusting targets and ratings while acknowledging a more cautious backdrop for fertilizers and agriculture.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 09

NTR: Fertilizer Cycle Concerns Will Pressure Shares Despite Recent Buybacks

Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their consolidated price target for Nutrien down by about $2 to $64. This reflects updated views that factor in more cautious fertilizer and agriculture setups, modestly lower assumed revenue growth, a slightly higher profit margin profile, and a reduced future P/E multiple in their models.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 21

NTR Is Expected To Benefit From Potential Upside In Fertilizer Pricing

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Nutrien to approximately $113 from about $97, citing a tougher near term backdrop for farmers, slightly lower growth and margin expectations, and a more balanced risk reward profile after the stock's strong run. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a mixed but generally constructive stance on Nutrien, with several firms trimming price targets modestly while maintaining positive ratings.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 07

NTR: Portfolio Streamlining And Farm Headwinds Will Shape Balanced Returns Ahead

Analysts have modestly reduced their price expectations for Nutrien, trimming the target by a low single digit dollar amount to reflect a tougher near term farm income backdrop, portfolio streamlining impacts, and a more balanced risk reward view despite solid recent execution. Analyst Commentary Street research on Nutrien reflects a constructive long term view, tempered by nearer term caution around farm fundamentals, commodity pricing and the impact of recent portfolio moves.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 23

NTR: Portfolio Streamlining And Asset Sales Will Drive Sector Outperformance Ahead

Nutrien's analyst price target has been modestly reduced by $0.21 to $88.43. Analysts cite ongoing sector headwinds, including weaker crop prices, portfolio adjustments, and a more balanced risk-reward outlook, despite solid recent performance.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 07

NTR: Portfolio Streamlining and Supply Tightness Will Shape Upside Amid Sector Scrutiny

Nutrien’s average analyst price target has edged slightly lower in recent weeks, as analysts weigh a modestly improving profit margin and fair value estimate against easing revenue growth and persistent caution over the agricultural cycle. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity around Nutrien highlights both opportunities and challenges for the company as it navigates ongoing market volatility and shifting sector dynamics.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 24

Shifting Market Trends Will Shape Fertilizer Demand Amid Agricultural Cycle Uncertainty

Nutrien's analyst price targets have recently edged lower by $1 to $2 per share, as analysts cite cautious earnings expectations, a more balanced risk-reward profile, and the impact of portfolio adjustments on future performance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a divided outlook among analysts covering Nutrien, reflecting both positive and cautionary perspectives as the company navigates its next phase of growth and portfolio transformation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 09

Global Food Demand And Precision Ag Will Secure Fertilizer Success

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Nutrien, increasing it by approximately $1.38 to reflect updated earnings projections and evolving outlooks for fertilizer market conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent street research reflects a mixed outlook on Nutrien's growth trajectory, valuation, and near-term execution capacity.
User avatar
New Narrative • Feb 09

Accelerated Efficiency And Expanded Potash And Nitrogen Output Will Strengthen Future Operations

Accelerated operational efficiency and strategic sales expansion may enhance margins and boost revenue without significant new capital expenditure.

Shareholder Returns

NTRCA ChemicalsCA Market
7D-1.1%-0.6%-1.8%
1Y37.9%40.3%22.6%

Return vs Industry: NTR underperformed the Canadian Chemicals industry which returned 40.3% over the past year.

Return vs Market: NTR exceeded the Canadian Market which returned 22.6% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is NTR's price volatile compared to industry and market?
NTR volatility
NTR Average Weekly Movement3.9%
Chemicals Industry Average Movement8.7%
Market Average Movement9.3%
10% most volatile stocks in CA Market16.3%
10% least volatile stocks in CA Market3.7%

Stable Share Price: NTR has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Canadian market.

Volatility Over Time: NTR's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
201725,500Ken Seitzwww.nutrien.com

Nutrien Ltd. provides crop inputs and services. The company operates through four segments: Retail, Potash, Nitrogen, and Phosphate. The Retail segment markets crop nutrients, crop protection products, seed, and merchandise, as well as provides agronomic application and financing services and solutions; and produces proprietary products, including proprietary crop nutrient, crop protection, and seed products.

Nutrien Ltd. Fundamentals Summary

How do Nutrien's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
NTR fundamental statistics
Market capCA$52.06b
Earnings (TTM)CA$3.30b
Revenue (TTM)CA$37.83b
15.7x
P/E Ratio
1.4x
P/S Ratio

Is NTR overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
NTR income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$27.29b
Cost of RevenueUS$18.54b
Gross ProfitUS$8.75b
Other ExpensesUS$6.37b
EarningsUS$2.38b

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

Nov 05, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)4.99
Gross Margin32.06%
Net Profit Margin8.72%
Debt/Equity Ratio43.9%

How did NTR perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

2.8%
Current Dividend Yield
44%
Payout Ratio

Does NTR pay a reliable dividends?

See NTR dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy NTR by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Nutrien dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateSep 29 2026
Dividend Pay DateOct 16 2026
Days until Ex dividend16 days
Days until Dividend pay date33 days

Does NTR pay a reliable dividends?

See NTR dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/11 01:37
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Nutrien Ltd. is covered by 51 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harriet LiAccountability Research Corporation
Keith CarpenterATB Cormark
Benjamin TheurerBarclays

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