Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Maxcom S.A. (WSE:MXC) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Maxcom
How Much Debt Does Maxcom Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Maxcom had zł16.2m of debt, an increase on zł3.26m, over one year. On the flip side, it has zł6.52m in cash leading to net debt of about zł9.64m.
How Strong Is Maxcom's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Maxcom had liabilities of zł23.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of zł4.87m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of zł6.52m and zł21.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.
This state of affairs indicates that Maxcom's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the zł37.9m company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Maxcom's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.7 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 10.2 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Shareholders should be aware that Maxcom's EBIT was down 46% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Maxcom's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Maxcom actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
While Maxcom's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us cautious about it, its track record of (not) growing its EBIT is no better. But on the brighter side of life, its interest cover leaves us feeling more frolicsome. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Maxcom is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 6 warning signs with Maxcom (at least 2 which don't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About WSE:MXC
Maxcom
Produces, distributes, and sells consumer electronics products in Poland and worldwide.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.