Stock Analysis

The three-year loss for Cyfrowy Polsat (WSE:CPS) shareholders likely driven by its shrinking earnings

Investing in stocks inevitably means buying into some companies that perform poorly. But long term Cyfrowy Polsat S.A. (WSE:CPS) shareholders have had a particularly rough ride in the last three year. Unfortunately, they have held through a 63% decline in the share price in that time.

The recent uptick of 3.9% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

Check out our latest analysis for Cyfrowy Polsat

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the three years that the share price fell, Cyfrowy Polsat's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 34% each year. This fall in EPS isn't far from the rate of share price decline, which was 28% per year. So it seems that investor expectations of the company are staying pretty steady, despite the disappointment. In this case, it seems that the EPS is guiding the share price.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
WSE:CPS Earnings Per Share Growth August 14th 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Cyfrowy Polsat's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Advertisement

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Cyfrowy Polsat's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Dividends have been really beneficial for Cyfrowy Polsat shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 59%, over the last 3 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Cyfrowy Polsat had a tough year, with a total loss of 13%, against a market gain of about 14%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 8% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Cyfrowy Polsat (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .

But note: Cyfrowy Polsat may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Polish exchanges.

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About WSE:CPS

Cyfrowy Polsat

Provides digital satellite platform and terrestrial television (TV), and telecommunication services primarily in Poland.

Good value with moderate growth potential.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8696.4% undervalued
34 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
9 users have liked this narrative
RO
Robbo
FID logo
Robbo on Fiducian Group ·

Fiducian: Compliance Clouds or Value Opportunity?

Fair Value:AU$126.1% undervalued
4 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
WO
WVVI logo
woodworthfund on Willamette Valley Vineyards ·

Willamette Valley Vineyards (WVVI): Not-So-Great Value

Fair Value:US$244.5% overvalued
6 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

FU
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group ·

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.6411.4% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
MA
MarkoVT
GOOGL logo
MarkoVT on Alphabet ·

Positioned globally, partnered locally

Fair Value:US$390.1918.1% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
JO
JohnJ
WLN logo
JohnJ on Worldline ·

When will fraudsters be investigated in depth. Fraud was ongoing in France too.

Fair Value:€0.5190.0% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.6% undervalued
113 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3927.5% undervalued
952 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative
OS
oscargarcia
GOOGL logo
oscargarcia on Alphabet ·

The company that turned a verb into a global necessity and basically runs the modern internet, digital ads, smartphones, maps, and AI.

Fair Value:US$3406.0% undervalued
148 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative