Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Global Cosmed S.A. (WSE:GLC) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Global Cosmed
How Much Debt Does Global Cosmed Carry?
As you can see below, Global Cosmed had zł56.7m of debt at September 2020, down from zł63.8m a year prior. However, it does have zł10.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about zł46.6m.
A Look At Global Cosmed's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Global Cosmed had liabilities of zł95.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of zł42.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of zł10.1m and zł40.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling zł86.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because Global Cosmed is worth zł426.2m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Global Cosmed's net debt is only 1.5 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 16.0 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Better yet, Global Cosmed grew its EBIT by 404% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Global Cosmed will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last two years, Global Cosmed generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 86% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Our View
Happily, Global Cosmed's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that Global Cosmed is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Global Cosmed is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About WSE:DMG
Dr. Miele Cosmed Group
Engages in the production and sale of chemical and cosmetic assortments in Poland and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.