What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Although, when we looked at Pepees (WSE:PPS), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Pepees, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.064 = zł15m ÷ (zł314m - zł87m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
So, Pepees has an ROCE of 6.4%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Food industry average of 10%.
View our latest analysis for Pepees
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Pepees has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
So How Is Pepees' ROCE Trending?
In terms of Pepees' historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has employed 71% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 6.4%. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
In Conclusion...
In conclusion, Pepees has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 207% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
One more thing: We've identified 4 warning signs with Pepees (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About WSE:PPS
Pepees
Engages in the potatoes processing business in Poland and internationally.
Fair value with mediocre balance sheet.