Stock Analysis

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Makarony Polskie S.A.'s (WSE:MAK) Earnings Despite 41% Price Jump

WSE:MAK
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Makarony Polskie S.A. (WSE:MAK) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 41% gain in the last month alone. The annual gain comes to 166% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Even after such a large jump in price, Makarony Polskie may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.9x, since almost half of all companies in Poland have P/E ratios greater than 13x and even P/E's higher than 27x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Makarony Polskie certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Makarony Polskie

pe-multiple-vs-industry
WSE:MAK Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Makarony Polskie will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Makarony Polskie's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Makarony Polskie would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 38% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 559% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 7.8% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Makarony Polskie's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Makarony Polskie's P/E

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Makarony Polskie's P/E close to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Makarony Polskie currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Makarony Polskie that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.