Stock Analysis

Could Mennica Polska S.A.'s (WSE:MNC) Weak Financials Mean That The Market Could Correct Its Share Price?

WSE:MNC
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Mennica Polska's (WSE:MNC) stock is up by 4.8% over the past month. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak financials, as long-term fundamentals ultimately dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Mennica Polska's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Mennica Polska

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Mennica Polska is:

1.3% = zł7.0m ÷ zł542m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each PLN1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made PLN0.01 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Mennica Polska's Earnings Growth And 1.3% ROE

It is hard to argue that Mennica Polska's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 15%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Hence, the flat earnings seen by Mennica Polska over the past five years could probably be the result of it having a lower ROE.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Mennica Polska's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 8.7% in the same period, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
WSE:MNC Past Earnings Growth December 7th 2020

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Mennica Polska is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Mennica Polska Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Mennica Polska has a high three-year median payout ratio of 98% (or a retention ratio of 2.3%), meaning that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This does go some way in explaining why there's been no growth in its earnings.

Moreover, Mennica Polska has been paying dividends for nine years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Conclusion

On the whole, Mennica Polska's performance is quite a big let-down. The low ROE, combined with the fact that the company is paying out almost if not all, of its profits as dividends, has resulted in the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. You can do your own research on Mennica Polska and see how it has performed in the past by looking at this FREE detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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