Stock Analysis

The Market Lifts Trakcja S.A. (WSE:TRK) Shares 31% But It Can Do More

WSE:TRK
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Trakcja S.A. (WSE:TRK) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 68%.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Trakcja's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Construction industry in Poland, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Trakcja

ps-multiple-vs-industry
WSE:TRK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

What Does Trakcja's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Trakcja has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Trakcja will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Trakcja's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 33% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 45% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 7.9%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

In light of this, it's curious that Trakcja's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Trakcja's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Trakcja currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Trakcja (including 1 which is potentially serious).

If you're unsure about the strength of Trakcja's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Trakcja might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.