David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Trakcja S.A. (WSE:TRK) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does Trakcja Carry?
As you can see below, Trakcja had zł236.4m of debt at June 2023, down from zł389.4m a year prior. On the flip side, it has zł29.5m in cash leading to net debt of about zł206.9m.
A Look At Trakcja's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Trakcja had liabilities of zł1.10b due within 12 months and liabilities of zł94.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of zł29.5m as well as receivables valued at zł653.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by zł510.0m.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of zł555.1m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Trakcja's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Trakcja will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Trakcja reported revenue of zł1.7b, which is a gain of 19%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Trakcja produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable zł56m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of zł98m. So we do think this stock is quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Trakcja you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:TRK
Trakcja
Operates in the infrastructure and energy construction sector in Poland and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet with acceptable track record.