David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Lubawa S.A. (WSE:LBW) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Lubawa
What Is Lubawa's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Lubawa had zł9.78m of debt in September 2020, down from zł88.9m, one year before. On the flip side, it has zł4.89m in cash leading to net debt of about zł4.89m.
How Healthy Is Lubawa's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Lubawa had liabilities of zł77.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of zł45.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of zł4.89m as well as receivables valued at zł85.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by zł32.7m.
Given Lubawa has a market capitalization of zł222.4m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Lubawa's net debt to EBITDA ratio is very low, at 0.087, suggesting the debt is only trivial. Although with EBIT only covering interest expenses 5.5 times over, the company is truly paying for borrowing. Notably, Lubawa's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 106% on last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Lubawa's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Lubawa recorded free cash flow of 41% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Lubawa's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Lubawa is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Lubawa , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About WSE:LBW
Lubawa
Manufactures and sells army, police, municipal police, border patrol, fire brigade, and special force products in Poland and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.