Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Freightways (NZSE:FRE) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Freightways:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) Ă· (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.13 = NZ$113m Ă· (NZ$1.1b - NZ$180m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Therefore, Freightways has an ROCE of 13%. By itself that's a normal return on capital and it's in line with the industry's average returns of 13%.
View our latest analysis for Freightways
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Freightways compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Freightways here for free.
So How Is Freightways' ROCE Trending?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Freightways, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 20%, but since then they've fallen to 13%. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
The Bottom Line On Freightways' ROCE
Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Freightways. And long term investors must be optimistic going forward because the stock has returned a huge 116% to shareholders in the last five years. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.
On a separate note, we've found 4 warning signs for Freightways you'll probably want to know about.
While Freightways may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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About NZSE:FRW
Freightways Group
Provides express package and business mail, and information management services in New Zealand, Australia, and internationally.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.