Announcement • Jun 11
Serko Limited Announces Management Changes, Effective June 10, 2026 Serko Limited announced management changes. Since joining Serko in early 2025, Matthew Gerrie has made a significant contribution as Chief Operating Officer, driving strategy development and product innovation. Matthew Gerrie will be responsible for day-to-day operational performance across Serko, working closely with the CEO on strategic priorities, effective June 10, 2026. His responsibilities will cover all functions, including commercial, finance, people, technology and product. Matthew Gerrie brings substantial global travel technology experience to Serko. He joined Serko in 2025 following a decade at Booking Holdings and its subsidiary Booking.com. During this time he led major strategic initiatives for Booking Holdings and led customer insights at Booking.com, overseeing the data science, experimentation, research and customer metrics divisions. Serko also announced the promotion of David Holyoke to Chief Product Officer and member of the Executive Team, effective June 10, 2026. Since joining Serko in 2024, David Holyoke has made his mark quickly, leading the development of Serko.ai, Serko’s new multi-agentic AI solution, and driving the growth of Booking.com for Business. Based in the United States, David brings over 20 years of experience in the corporate travel industry, including senior leadership roles with Airbnb and Travel Leaders. Major Estimate Revision • May 26
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 38% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2027 has been updated. 2027 expected loss increased from -NZ$0.03 to -NZ$0.041 per share. Revenue forecast unchanged at NZ$129.9m. Software industry in New Zealand expected to see average net income growth of 39% next year. Consensus price target down from NZ$3.50 to NZ$3.22. Share price rose 18% to NZ$1.65 over the past week. Reported Earnings • May 21
Full year 2026 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind Full year 2026 results: NZ$0.14 loss per share (improved from NZ$0.18 loss in FY 2025). Revenue: NZ$120.9m (up 37% from FY 2025). Net loss: NZ$17.7m (loss narrowed 19% from FY 2025). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.3%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 59%. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 16% growth forecast for the Software industry in Oceania. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 4% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 20% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Announcement • Apr 30
Serko Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2026 Results on May 20, 2026 Serko Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2026 results at 4:45 PM, IDLE - International Date Line on May 20, 2026 Announcement • Apr 16
Serko Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 30, 2026 Serko Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 30, 2026. Location: meeting physically, auckland New Zealand Breakeven Date Change • Apr 07
Forecast to breakeven in 2028 The 7 analysts covering Serko expect the company to break even for the first time. New consensus forecast suggests the company will make a profit of NZ$9.57m in 2028. Average annual earnings growth of 67% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule. New Risk • Mar 30
New major risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of New Zealander stocks, typically moving 6.9% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Major Estimate Revision • Mar 11
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 31% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 expected loss increased from -NZ$0.09 to -NZ$0.117 per share. Revenue forecast unchanged at NZ$119.8m. Software industry in New Zealand expected to see average net income growth of 33% next year. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at NZ$3.44. Share price rose 13% to NZ$2.06 over the past week. New Risk • Jan 15
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of New Zealander stocks, typically moving 5.6% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Recent Insider Transactions • Dec 03
Chief Financial Officer recently sold NZ$61k worth of stock On the 25th of November, Shane Sampson sold around 23k shares on-market at roughly NZ$2.60 per share. This transaction amounted to 12% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Shane's only on-market trade for the last 12 months. Breakeven Date Change • Nov 18 The 6 analysts covering Serko previously expected the company to break even in 2028. New consensus forecast suggests losses will reduce by 79% per year to 2027. The company is expected to make a profit of NZ$9.10m in 2028. Average annual earnings growth of 144% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule.
Announcement • Oct 28
Serko Limited to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Nov 18, 2025 Serko Limited announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Nov 18, 2025 Breakeven Date Change • Sep 18
Forecast breakeven date moved forward to 2027 The 5 analysts covering Serko previously expected the company to break even in 2028. New consensus forecast suggests losses will reduce by 46% to 2026. The company is expected to make a profit of NZ$320.5k in 2027. Average annual earnings growth of 97% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule. Recent Insider Transactions • Jul 22
Co-Founder recently sold NZ$1.7m worth of stock On the 18th of July, Darrin Grafton sold around 600k shares on-market at roughly NZ$2.90 per share. This transaction amounted to 5.3% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Darrin's only on-market trade for the last 12 months. Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Jun 04
Chief Financial Officer exercised options and sold NZ$145k worth of stock On the 27th of May, Shane Sampson exercised options to acquire 48k shares at no cost and sold these for an average price of NZ$3.03 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. Since September 2024, Shane's direct individual holding has increased from 24.61k shares to 63.10k. Company insiders have collectively sold NZ$339k more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months. Major Estimate Revision • May 27
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 112% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has deteriorated. 2026 revenue forecast decreased from NZ$130.5m to NZ$119.1m. Losses expected to increase from NZ$0.049 per share to NZ$0.10. Software industry in New Zealand expected to see average net income growth of 42% next year. Consensus price target down from NZ$4.34 to NZ$3.80. Share price rose 3.7% to NZ$3.05 over the past week. New Risk • May 21
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of New Zealander stocks, typically moving 6.4% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Price Target Changed • May 21
Price target decreased by 11% to NZ$3.88 Down from NZ$4.34, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 27% above last closing price of NZ$3.06. Stock is down 7.3% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of NZ$0.097 next year compared to a net loss per share of NZ$0.18 last year. Breakeven Date Change • May 21
Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2028 The 7 analysts covering Serko previously expected the company to break even in 2027. New consensus forecast suggests losses will reduce by 57% per year to 2027. The company is expected to make a profit of NZ$14.0m in 2028. Average annual earnings growth of 60% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule. Reported Earnings • May 20
Full year 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations Full year 2025 results: NZ$0.18 loss per share (further deteriorated from NZ$0.13 loss in FY 2024). Revenue: NZ$90.5m (up 32% from FY 2024). Net loss: NZ$22.0m (loss widened 38% from FY 2024). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 85%. Revenue is forecast to grow 19% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Software industry in Oceania. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 37% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 10% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Announcement • May 08
Serko Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on May 20, 2025 Serko Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on May 20, 2025 Announcement • Apr 08
Serko Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 26, 2025 Serko Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 26, 2025. Location: auckland New Zealand Announcement • Jan 30
Serko Limited Announces Executive Changes Serko Limited announced the appointment of Matthew Gerrie as new Chief Operating Officer, effective 17 March 2025 and the resignation of Chief Product Officer, Joydip Das. In his role as COO, Mr. Gerrie will play a key role in scaling Serko's global operations, driving growth and optimising performance across international markets. He will assume Serko's product responsibilities, following the resignation of Mr. Das. Mr. Gerrie joins Serko from Booking Holdings. He brings a wealth of experience to Serko, having spent more than 11 years at Booking.com, the flagship brand of Booking Holdings Inc, where he held senior roles including Vice President of Customer Insights and Senior Director of Marketing Science & Communication. Most recently, he served as Director of Strategy, Analytics in Global Strategy & Business Development at Booking Holdings Inc. Serko advised that its Chief Product Officer, Joydip Das, will leave Serko in April 2025. Announcement • Jan 09
Serko Limited (NZSE:SKO) completed the acquisition of GetThere L.P. from Sabre GLBL Inc. Serko Limited (NZSE:SKO) entered into definitive agreement to acquire GetThere L.P. from Sabre GLBL Inc. for $24.75 million on October 23, 2024. The purchase price payable by Serko pursuant to the Transaction is $12 million, comprising an upfront cash payment of $10 million to be paid on completion of the transaction, and a deferred payment one year from completion of the Transaction of up to $2 million to be satisfied by way of either (i) cash or (ii) an issuance to Sabre of ordinary shares in Serko. Further, under the Strategic Partnership Agreement between Serko and Sabre, if certain performance metrics are met at the end of the first year and second year, Serko will pay Sabre a bonus of up to $12.75 million, to be satisfied by either a payment in cash or issuance of ordinary shares in Serko of an equivalent value ("Performance Shares"). If Serko elects to issue the Consideration Shares and/or the Performance Shares the issuance would be grossed up by multiple of 1.05 for potential block trade discount. The transaction is subject to customary conditions. GetThere team members joining Serko in the United States, Australia, United Kingdom and India.
Serko Limited (NZSE:SKO) completed the acquisition of GetThere L.P. from Sabre GLBL Inc. on January 7, 2025. Dan Malone and Gavin George of Haynes and Boone, LLP acted as legal advisor to Sabre GLBL Inc. Announcement • Dec 10
Serko Ltd. to Launch NDC Content in Zeno with Amadeus Technology Serko Ltd. announced it will roll-out NDC content with Amadeus, expanding its multi-source airline retailing capabilities within the Serko platform. Scheduled to go live in mid-2025, Serko's corporate travel solution, Zeno, will integrate NDC-enabled content through the Amadeus Travel Platform. Travelers will be able to shop and book NDC offers via Amadeus, including corporate-negotiated fares and personalized ancillary services, within Zeno's connected trip experience. The Amadeus Travel Platform is currently live with 29 airlines providing NDC content, with additional airlines scheduled to join in 2025 and beyond. For Serko's Travel Management Company partners, as well as corporate and government customers, this integration will provide an additional source for accessing NDC offers within Zeno, particularly relevant for the Australia and New Zealand market as Qantas has announced that it will introduce its revised distribution strategy on 1 July 2025. Serko's future product releases will continue to enhance the customer experience when sourcing NDC content via Amadeus, enabling mixed airline itineraries across various fare types (NDC, EDIFACT, and LCC) and the ability to manage NDC bookings online. The initiative is directly supported by Amadeus and will see Serko's product and engineering teams working closely with Amadeus Implementation Consulting Services. Major Estimate Revision • Dec 06
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 78% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 expected loss increased from -NZ$0.051 to -NZ$0.092 per share. Revenue forecast unchanged at NZ$90.9m. Software industry in New Zealand expected to see average net income growth of 43% next year. Consensus price target down from NZ$4.36 to NZ$4.23. Share price rose 2.7% to NZ$3.79 over the past week. Breakeven Date Change • Dec 05
Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2027 The 7 analysts covering Serko previously expected the company to break even in 2026. New consensus forecast suggests the company will make a profit of NZ$13.0m in 2027. Average annual earnings growth of 71% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule. Price Target Changed • Nov 06
Price target increased by 9.3% to NZ$4.36 Up from NZ$3.99, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 14% above last closing price of NZ$3.84. Stock is down 10% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of NZ$0.051 next year compared to a net loss per share of NZ$0.13 last year. Reported Earnings • Nov 01
First half 2025 earnings released: NZ$0.043 loss per share (vs NZ$0.06 loss in 1H 2024) First half 2025 results: NZ$0.043 loss per share (improved from NZ$0.06 loss in 1H 2024). Revenue: NZ$41.5m (up 16% from 1H 2024). Net loss: NZ$5.11m (loss narrowed 29% from 1H 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 22% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Software industry in Oceania. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 38% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 24% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Announcement • Oct 30
Serko Limited (NZSE:SKO) entered into definitive agreement to acquire GetThere L.P. from Sabre GLBL Inc. for $24.75 million. Serko Limited (NZSE:SKO) entered into definitive agreement to acquire GetThere L.P. from Sabre GLBL Inc. for $24.75 million on October 23, 2024. The purchase price payable by Serko pursuant to the Transaction is $12 million, comprising an upfront cash payment of $10 million to be paid on completion of the transaction, and a deferred payment one year from completion of the Transaction of up to $2 million to be satisfied by way of either (i) cash or (ii) an issuance to Sabre of ordinary shares in Serko. Further, under the Strategic Partnership Agreement between Serko and Sabre, if certain performance metrics are met at the end of the first year and second year, Serko will pay Sabre a bonus of up to $12.75 million, to be satisfied by either a payment in cash or issuance of ordinary shares in Serko of an equivalent value ("Performance Shares"). If Serko elects to issue the Consideration Shares and/or the Performance Shares the issuance would be grossed up by multiple of 1.05 for potential block trade discount. The transaction is subject to customary conditions. GetThere team members joining Serko in the United States, Australia, United Kingdom and India. Announcement • Oct 29
Serko Limited to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Oct 29, 2024 Serko Limited announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Oct 29, 2024 Announcement • Sep 19
Serko Limited Appoints Matt Weaver as Head of Data Serko Limited appointed Matt Weaver as Head of Data. In his role as Head of Data, Matt will lead Serko’s data team to deliver data-driven insights that drive business impact. Matt brings over 10 years of experience in data science and analytics, most recently at Booking.com where he led the Central Marketing Experimentation Group, responsible for developing and articulating the measurement and experimentation strategy. Announcement • Jun 25
Serko Limited Appoints David Holyoke as Head of Unmanaged Travel, Effective July 1, 2024 Serko Ltd. announced the appointment of David Holyoke as Head of Unmanaged Travel, to take effect on July 1st. In his role as Head of Unmanaged Travel at Serko, David will spearhead the company's efforts to expand its offerings in the SME travel market. Leveraging his extensive experience in corporate travel, David will provide strategic leadership and direction, driving market growth and product innovation. His goals include enhancing Serko’s SME travel products through data-driven initiatives, optimizing the user experience, and strengthening partnerships such as Serko’s successful collaboration with Booking.com, Booking.com for Business. David brings over 20 years of experience in the corporate travel industry, having held senior leadership roles at Airbnb and Travel Leaders. In his most recent role as Head of Commercial Strategy at Airbnb, David played a pivotal role in shaping the company's commercial direction. He also served as the founding GM for Airbnb for Work, where he built and scaled ventures in the corporate travel sector. Price Target Changed • May 29
Price target decreased by 11% to NZ$3.98 Down from NZ$4.46, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 26% above last closing price of NZ$3.15. Stock is up 2.9% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of NZ$0.017 next year compared to a net loss per share of NZ$0.13 last year. Breakeven Date Change • May 29
Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2026 The 7 analysts covering Serko previously expected the company to break even in 2025. New consensus forecast suggests the company will make a profit of NZ$11.8m in 2026. Average annual earnings growth of 100% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule. Announcement • May 01
Serko Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on May 28, 2024 Serko Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on May 28, 2024 New Risk • Apr 30
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of New Zealander stocks, typically moving 6.5% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 27
Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 7.4% to NZ$3.78. The fair value is estimated to be NZ$4.76, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 57% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 5.9%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 32% in a year. Earnings are forecast to grow by 69% in the next year. Announcement • Mar 22
Serko Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 18, 2024 Serko Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 18, 2024, at 14:00 NZST - New Zealand Standard. Major Estimate Revision • Nov 22
Consensus estimates of losses per share improve by 16% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from NZ$69.4m to NZ$72.5m. EPS estimate increased from -NZ$0.142 per share to -NZ$0.119 per share. Software industry in New Zealand expected to see average net income growth of 28% next year. Consensus price target up from NZ$3.92 to NZ$4.95. Share price fell 9.5% to NZ$4.12 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Nov 19
First half 2024 earnings released: NZ$0.06 loss per share (vs NZ$0.17 loss in 1H 2023) First half 2024 results: NZ$0.06 loss per share (improved from NZ$0.17 loss in 1H 2023). Revenue: NZ$35.8m (up 90% from 1H 2023). Net loss: NZ$7.17m (loss narrowed 64% from 1H 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 26% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Software industry in Oceania. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Buying Opportunity • Nov 16
Now 20% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock is up 16%. The fair value is estimated to be NZ$5.51, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 57% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 6.0%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 32% in a year. Earnings is forecast to grow by 52% in the next year. Price Target Changed • Nov 14
Price target increased by 8.3% to NZ$3.92 Up from NZ$3.62, the current price target is an average from 4 analysts. New target price is 14% below last closing price of NZ$4.54. Stock is up 73% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of NZ$0.15 next year compared to a net loss per share of NZ$0.26 last year. Announcement • Oct 24
Serko Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Nov 15, 2023 Serko Limited announced that they will report first half, 2024 results on Nov 15, 2023 Announcement • Oct 10
Serko Limited Appoints Liz Fraser as Chief Revenue Officer, Effective January 2023 Serko Limited announced the appointment of Liz Fraser as Chief Revenue Officer. Liz has extensive experience driving revenue growth across both the travel and media sectors in senior leadership roles at TVNZ, Air New Zealand and most recently as Commercial Director at MediaWorks. Liz's start date is early January 2024. Announcement • Jun 28
Serko Limited Affirmed Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024 Serko Limited affirmed earnings guidance for the fiscal year 2024. For the period, the company affirmed its guidance provided in May that it continues to anticipate FY24 total income of between $63 million and $70 million and total spend of between $86 million and $90 million. Announcement • Jun 23
Serko Limited Appoints Joydip Das as Chief Product Officer Serko Limited announced the expansion of its product leadership function with the appointment of Joydip Das, as Serko's Chief Product Officer. Joydip brings with him a wealth of experience as a global product leader most recently as the Chief Product Officer of Iress, and prior to that as a Vice President, Product at Salesforce.com and SAP. Joydip will be starting in early October 2023. Recent Insider Transactions • Jun 17
Independent Non-Executive Director recently sold NZ$123k worth of stock On the 14th of June, Clyde McConaghy sold around 35k shares on-market at roughly NZ$3.53 per share. This transaction amounted to 19% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have been net sellers, collectively disposing of NZ$35k more than they bought in the last 12 months. Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • May 30
Chief Operating Officer exercised options and sold NZ$153k worth of stock On the 25th of May, Charles Nowaczek exercised options to acquire 51k shares at no cost and sold these for an average price of NZ$3.01 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. Since June 2022, Charles has owned 363.97k shares directly. Company insiders have collectively sold NZ$90k more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months. Major Estimate Revision • May 24
Consensus estimates of losses per share improve by 18% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from NZ$62.0m to NZ$66.7m. EPS estimate increased from -NZ$0.205 per share to -NZ$0.169 per share. Software industry in New Zealand expected to see average net income growth of 14% next year. Consensus price target up from NZ$3.33 to NZ$3.62. Share price rose 2.4% to NZ$3.04 over the past week. Price Target Changed • May 18
Price target increased by 8.6% to NZ$3.62 Up from NZ$3.33, the current price target is an average from 4 analysts. New target price is 13% above last closing price of NZ$3.20. Stock is down 23% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of NZ$0.21 next year compared to a net loss per share of NZ$0.26 last year. Reported Earnings • May 18
Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Full year 2023 results: NZ$0.26 loss per share (improved from NZ$0.33 loss in FY 2022). Revenue: NZ$48.0m (up 169% from FY 2022). Net loss: NZ$30.5m (loss narrowed 15% from FY 2022). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 6.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 11%. Revenue is forecast to grow 29% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 18% growth forecast for the Software industry in Oceania. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 20% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 1% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Breakeven Date Change • May 18
Forecast to breakeven in 2026 The 5 analysts covering Serko expect the company to break even for the first time. New consensus forecast suggests losses will reduce by 53% per year to 2025. The company is expected to make a profit of NZ$9.45m in 2026. Average annual earnings growth of 78% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule. Announcement • May 17
Serko Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Years 2024 and 2025 Serko Limited provided earnings guidance for the fiscal years 2024 and 2025. The company anticipates full year total income of between NZD 63 million and NZD 70 million for fiscal year 2024 based on current trends including the continued business travel recovery, growth in active customers in Booking.com for Business, a strong Euro:NZD exchange rate and current average revenue per completed room night. The company confirms its aspiration of NZD 100 million in total income in fiscal year 2025. Major Estimate Revision • Jan 24
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 24%, revenue upgraded The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 revenue forecast increased from NZ$40.5m to NZ$41.9m. Forecast EPS reduced from -NZ$0.231 to -NZ$0.287 per share. Software industry in New Zealand expected to see average net income growth of 17% next year. Consensus price target of NZ$3.33 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 8.7% to NZ$2.37 over the past week. Major Estimate Revision • Nov 29
Consensus forecasts updated The consensus outlook for 2023 has been updated. 2023 expected loss increased from -NZ$0.21 to -NZ$0.23 per share. Revenue forecast unchanged at NZ$40.4m. Software industry in New Zealand expected to see average net income growth of 22% next year. Consensus price target down from NZ$5.48 to NZ$3.61. Share price fell 2.8% to NZ$2.43 over the past week. Price Target Changed • Nov 25
Price target decreased to NZ$3.86 Down from NZ$5.48, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 54% above last closing price of NZ$2.50. Stock is down 63% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of NZ$0.23 next year compared to a net loss per share of NZ$0.33 last year. Reported Earnings • Nov 25
First half 2023 earnings released: NZ$0.17 loss per share (vs NZ$0.14 loss in 1H 2022) First half 2023 results: NZ$0.17 loss per share (further deteriorated from NZ$0.14 loss in 1H 2022). Revenue: NZ$18.8m (up 115% from 1H 2022). Net loss: NZ$19.7m (loss widened 30% from 1H 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 48% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Software industry in Oceania. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 48% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 21% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Announcement • Nov 23
Serko Limited Affirms Revenue Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2023 Serko Limited affirmed revenue guidance for the fiscal year 2023. For the year, the company is affirming its guidance of approximately doubling fiscal year 2022 revenue. Breakeven Date Change • Nov 16
No longer forecast to breakeven The 6 analysts covering Serko no longer expect the company to break even during the foreseeable future. The company was expected to make a profit of NZ$2.86m in 2024. New consensus forecast suggests the company will make a loss of NZ$12.6m in 2024. Announcement • Oct 28
Serko Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Nov 23, 2022 Serko Limited announced that they will report first half, 2023 results on Nov 23, 2022 Announcement • Jun 22
Serko Limited, Annual General Meeting, Aug 31, 2022 Serko Limited, Annual General Meeting, Aug 31, 2022, at 14:00 NZST - New Zealand Standard. Recent Insider Transactions • May 26
Chief Operating Officer recently sold NZ$161k worth of stock On the 20th of May, Charles Nowaczek sold around 40k shares on-market at roughly NZ$4.01 per share. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Charles has been a seller over the last 12 months, reducing personal holdings by NZ$266k. Price Target Changed • May 23
Price target decreased to NZ$5.93 Down from NZ$6.52, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 46% above last closing price of NZ$4.07. Stock is down 39% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of NZ$0.21 next year compared to a net loss per share of NZ$0.33 last year. Breakeven Date Change • May 20
No longer forecast to breakeven The 6 analysts covering Serko no longer expect the company to break even during the foreseeable future. The company was expected to make a profit of NZ$2.86m in 2024. New consensus forecast suggests the company will make a loss of NZ$3.82m in 2024. Breakeven Date Change • May 19
Forecast breakeven date moved forward to 2023 The 6 analysts covering Serko previously expected the company to break even in 2024. New consensus forecast suggests the company will make a profit of NZ$1.27m in 2023. Earnings growth of 98% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule. Reported Earnings • May 18
Full year 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind Full year 2022 results: NZ$0.33 loss per share (down from NZ$0.30 loss in FY 2021). Revenue: NZ$18.9m (up 40% from FY 2021). Net loss: NZ$36.0m (loss widened 22% from FY 2021). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 9.3%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 100%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 175%, compared to a 46% growth forecast for the industry in New Zealand. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 83 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Price Target Changed • Feb 02
Price target decreased to NZ$6.82 Down from NZ$7.73, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 28% above last closing price of NZ$5.35. Stock is down 4.6% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of NZ$0.30 next year compared to a net loss per share of NZ$0.30 last year. Recent Insider Transactions • Dec 04
Insider recently sold NZ$902k worth of stock On the 1st of December, Simon Botherway sold around 139k shares on-market at roughly NZ$6.50 per share. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have been net sellers, collectively disposing of NZ$7.4m more than they bought in the last 12 months. Major Estimate Revision • Nov 30
Consensus revenue estimates fall to NZ$22.9m The consensus outlook for revenues in 2022 has deteriorated. 2022 revenue forecast decreased from NZ$39.1m to NZ$22.9m. Forecast losses increased from -NZ$0.12 to -NZ$0.28 per share. Software industry in New Zealand expected to see average net income growth of 17% next year. Consensus price target up from NZ$7.56 to NZ$7.73. Share price fell 18% to NZ$6.43 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Nov 27
First half 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind First half 2022 results: NZ$0.14 loss per share (down from NZ$0.11 loss in 1H 2021). Revenue: NZ$9.15m (up 81% from 1H 2021). Net loss: NZ$15.2m (loss widened 50% from 1H 2021). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 25%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 56%. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 56%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 159%, compared to a 31% growth forecast for the industry in New Zealand. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 132 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Announcement • Nov 25
Serko Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2021 Serko Limited announced that the company currently anticipates full year revenue and other income between $21 million and $25 million, and this outlook assumes general reduction of domestic travel restrictions within Australia and New Zealand, and no significant lockdowns in Europe and North America. Executive Departure • Aug 25
Independent Non-Executive Director Simon Botherway has left the company On the 18th of August, Simon Botherway's tenure as Independent Non-Executive Director ended after 7.3 years in the role. As of June 2021, Simon still personally held 277.57k shares (NZ$2.1m worth at the time). Simon is the only executive to leave the company over the last 12 months. The current median tenure of the management team is 3.58 years. Recent Insider Transactions • Jun 29
Chief Financial Officer recently sold NZ$184k worth of stock On the 24th of June, Susan Putt sold around 24k shares on-market at roughly NZ$7.55 per share. In the last 3 months, there was an even bigger sale from another insider worth NZ$895k. Susan has been a seller over the last 12 months, reducing personal holdings by NZ$646k. Recent Insider Transactions • Jun 23
Chief Financial Officer recently sold NZ$461k worth of stock On the 18th of June, Susan Putt sold around 62k shares on-market at roughly NZ$7.44 per share. In the last 3 months, there was an even bigger sale from another insider worth NZ$895k. This was Susan's only on-market trade for the last 12 months. Major Estimate Revision • Jun 08
Consensus EPS estimates fall to -NZ$0.13 The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2022 has deteriorated. 2022 revenue forecast decreased from NZ$37.5m to NZ$37.1m. Losses expected to increase from -NZ$0.11 to -NZ$0.13. Software industry in New Zealand expected to see average net income growth of 11% next year. Consensus price target up from NZ$6.70 to NZ$7.23. Share price fell 2.8% to NZ$7.05 over the past week. Price Target Changed • Jun 08
Price target increased to NZ$7.23 Up from NZ$6.70, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of NZ$7.05. Stock is up 83% over the past year. Recent Insider Transactions • May 28
Chief Operating Officer recently sold NZ$895k worth of stock On the 26th of May, Charles Nowaczek sold around 140k shares on-market at roughly NZ$6.40 per share. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Charles' only on-market trade for the last 12 months.